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The Liquidity Trap And Persistent Unemployment With Dynamic Optimizing Agents: Empirical Evidence

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  • YOSHIYASU ONO
  • KAZUO OGAWA
  • ATSUSHI YOSHIDA

Abstract

Standard money‐in‐utility dynamic models assume satiable liquidity preference, and thereby prove the existence of a full‐employment steady state. In the same framework, it is known that under insatiable liquidity or wealth preference there is a case where a full‐employment steady state does not exist. A liquidity trap then arises and unemployment persists in the steady state. Using both parametric and non‐parametric methods, this paper empirically finds that insatiable liquidity/wealth preference is better supported. Thus, without assuming any permanent distortion, we can analyse an effective demand shortage in a dynamic optimization framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Yoshiyasu Ono & Kazuo Ogawa & Atsushi Yoshida, 2004. "The Liquidity Trap And Persistent Unemployment With Dynamic Optimizing Agents: Empirical Evidence," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 55(4), pages 355-371, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jecrev:v:55:y:2004:i:4:p:355-371
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-5876.2004.00315.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Yoshiyasu Ono & Katsunori Yamada, 2018. "Difference or Ratio: Implications of Status Preference on Stagnation," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(3), pages 346-362, September.
    2. Vespignani, Joaquin L. & Ratti, Ronald A., 2016. "Not all international monetary shocks are alike for the Japanese economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 822-837.
    3. Yoshiyasu Ono, 2008. "Determinacy of Equilibrium under Various Phillips Curves," ISER Discussion Paper 0706, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
    4. Illing, Gerhard & Ono, Yoshiyasu & Schlegl, Matthias, 2018. "Credit booms, debt overhang and secular stagnation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 78-104.
    5. Johdo, Wataru & Hashimoto, Ken-ichi, 2009. "International relocation, the real exchange rate and effective demand," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 39-54, January.
    6. Hashimoto, Ken-ichi & Ono, Yoshiyasu, 2020. "A simple aggregate demand analysis with dynamic optimization in a small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 89-99.
    7. Ikefuji, Masako & Ono, Yoshiyasu, 2021. "Environmental policies in a stagnant economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    8. Yoshiyasu Ono, 2018. "Macroeconomic Interdependence Between a Stagnant and a Fully Employed Country," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 69(4), pages 450-477, December.
    9. Ken‐Ichi Hashimoto & Yoshiyasu Ono, 2011. "Does Pro‐Population Policy Raise Per Capita Consumption?," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 62(2), pages 151-169, June.
    10. Yoshiyasu Ono & Junichiro Ishida, 2014. "On Persistent Demand Shortages: A Behavioural Approach," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 65(1), pages 42-69, March.
    11. repec:dpr:wpaper:1241r is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Ken-ichi Hashimoto, 2015. "Tariffs, Offshoring and Unemployment in A Two-Country Model," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 66(3), pages 371-392, September.
    13. Daisuke Matsuzaki & Yoshiyasu Ono, 2023. "Economic stimulus effects of product innovation under demand stagnation," ISER Discussion Paper 1204r, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University, revised Jul 2023.
    14. Daisuke Matsuzaki & Yoshiyasu Ono, 2023. "Economic stimulus effects of product innovation under demand stagnation," ISER Discussion Paper 1204rr, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University, revised Sep 2023.
    15. Ryu-ichiro Murota & Yoshiyasu Ono, 2010. "A Reinterpretation of the Keynesian Consumption Function and Multiplier Effect," ISER Discussion Paper 0779, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
    16. repec:dpr:wpaper:1241 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Johdo, Wataru, 2009. "Habit persistence and stagnation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 1110-1114, September.
    18. Ryu-ichiro Murota & Yoshiyasu Ono, 2015. "Fiscal Policy under Long-run Stagnation: A New Interpretation of the Multiplier Effect," ISER Discussion Paper 0937, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
    19. Masako Ikefuji & Yoshiyasu Ono, 2023. "Environmental Policies and Stagnation in a Two-Country Economy," ISER Discussion Paper 1222, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
    20. Murota, Ryu-ichiro & Ono, Yoshiyasu, 2015. "Fiscal policy under deflationary gap and long-run stagnation: Reinterpretation of Keynesian multipliers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 596-603.
    21. Ryu‐ichiro Murota, 2018. "Aggregate demand deficiency, labor unions, and long‐run stagnation," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(4), pages 868-888, November.
    22. Mika Akesaka & Ryo Mikami & Yoshiyasu Ono, 2024. "Insatiable Wealth Preference: Evidence from Japanese Household Survey," ISER Discussion Paper 1241rr, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University, revised Oct 2024.
    23. Yamaguchi, Masao, 2017. "Stagnation and minimum wage: Optimal minimum wage policy in macroeconomics," MPRA Paper 80359, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Daisuke Matsuzaki & Yoshiyasu Ono, 2023. "Economic stimulus effects of product innovation under demand stagnation," ISER Discussion Paper 1204, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.

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