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The EU‐Mercosol Free Trade Agreement: Quantifying Mutual Gains

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  • GERMÁN CALFAT
  • RENATO G. FLÔRES

Abstract

We identify trade in goods opportunities in a EU‐Mercosul free trade area. Gains for Mercosul are rather concentrated, being mostly associated with a few agricultural commodities which face high protection barriers. EU gains are evenly spread, comprising a variety of market penetration possibilities. Trade deviation in the EU products is never higher than trade creation, confirming their international competitiveness and signalling that no great distortion of Mercosul's imports will take place. Balanced gains exist for both sides. For Mercosul, the agreement would act as a first serious trial for future liberalizations with other developed partners and as a warning on improvements in competitiveness.

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  • Germán Calfat & Renato G. Flôres, 2006. "The EU‐Mercosol Free Trade Agreement: Quantifying Mutual Gains," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(5), pages 921-945, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jcmkts:v:44:y:2006:i:5:p:921-945
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-5965.2006.00668.x
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    1. Fernando de Holanda Barbosa, 2017. "Competitive Equilibrium Hyperinflation Under Rational Expectations," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Exploring the Mechanics of Chronic Inflation and Hyperinflation, chapter 0, pages 77-91, Springer.
    2. Agramont, Daniel Agramont & Aliaga Lordemann, Javier, 2010. "Potential gains for Bolivia of the subscription of an association Agreement with the European Union," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 14, pages 127-161.
    3. Honório Kume & Guida Piani & Pedro Miranda, 2005. "Índia-Mercosul: Perspectivas de um Acordo de Preferências Comerciais," Discussion Papers 1120, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    4. Boyer, Ivan & Schuschny, Andrés Ricardo, 2010. "Quantitative assessment of a free trade agreement between MERCOSUR and the European Union," Estudios Estadísticos 4774, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    5. Ariel A. Barraud & Author-Name: Ariel A. Barraud, 2011. "Exploring trade flows between MERCOSUR and the EU: what does an export demand function tell us?," Economic Analysis Working Papers (2002-2010). Atlantic Review of Economics (2011-2016), Colexio de Economistas de A Coruña, Spain and Fundación Una Galicia Moderna, vol. 2, pages 1-1, December.
    6. Barbosa, Fernando de Holanda, 2005. "The contagion effect of public debt on monetary policy: the brazilian experience," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 591, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    7. Horowitz, Andrew W. & Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão, 2004. "Beyond indifferent players: on the existence of prisoners dilemmas in games with amicable and adversarial preferences," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 576, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    8. Flôres Jr, Renato G., 2013. "In Search of a Feasible EU-Mercosul Free Trade Agreement," CEPS Papers 7767, Centre for European Policy Studies.

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