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What factors determine dividend smoothing by US and EU banks?

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  • Nicos Koussis
  • Michalis Makrominas

Abstract

Using a relatively large sample of European and US banks for the period 1998–2016, we investigate the determinants of bank dividend smoothing based on agency, asymmetric information and risk‐shifting theories. We show that dividend payout ratio smoothing practices were implemented on both continents before and after the crisis of 2007 and were more strongly pronounced for EU banks. Our findings mostly support agency‐based explanations of bank dividend behavior as evidenced by higher payout ratio smoothing for banks with higher (initial) dividend payouts, lower ownership concentration, public banks, and banks with lower growth opportunities and weaker investor protection. Evidence in favor of asymmetric information explanations is stronger for EU countries, where smaller (more opaque) banks appear to smooth more. In both continents, banks that rely more heavily on equity issuances are found to smooth dividend payout ratios more, suggesting that banks aim at improving access to equity markets. We also provide evidence in support of risk‐shifting, as evidenced by the persistence of dividend payout ratio smoothing in the crisis years and higher dividend smoothing for banks under greater regulatory pressure. Additional analysis using a time series partial adjustment model for dividend levels provides evidence supporting the prevalence of dividend smoothing and the suggested theoretical explanations.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicos Koussis & Michalis Makrominas, 2019. "What factors determine dividend smoothing by US and EU banks?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(7-8), pages 1030-1059, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:46:y:2019:i:7-8:p:1030-1059
    DOI: 10.1111/jbfa.12399
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    Cited by:

    1. Dautović, Ernest & Gambacorta, Leonardo & Reghezza, Alessio, 2023. "Supervisory policy stimulus: evidence from the euro area dividend recommendation," Working Paper Series 2796, European Central Bank.
    2. Michele Fabrizi & Elisabetta Ipino & Michel Magnan & Antonio Parbonetti, 2021. "Real regulatory capital management and bank payouts: Evidence from available‐for‐sale securities," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(9-10), pages 1918-1939, October.
    3. Tahir, Muhammad & Ibrahim, Haslindar & Zulkafli, Abdul Hadi & Mushtaq, Muhammad, 2020. "Corruption, national culture, law and dividend repatriation policy," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 57.
    4. Mücke, Christian, 2023. "Bank dividend restrictions and banks' institutional investors," SAFE Working Paper Series 392, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    5. Sanders, Emiel & Simoens, Mathieu & Vander Vennet, Rudi, 2024. "Curse and blessing: The effect of the dividend ban on euro area bank valuations and syndicated lending," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    6. David Blanco‐Alcántara & Jorge Gallud‐Cano & Félix J. López‐Iturriaga & Óscar López‐de‐Foronda, 2022. "Have European banks maintained their payout policy during the crisis? The role of scrip dividends," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4619-4632, October.
    7. Bekiros, Stelios & Nilavongse, Rachatar & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2020. "Expectation-driven house prices and debt defaults: The effectiveness of monetary and macroprudential policies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    8. Cheng-few Lee & James Juichia Lin, 2023. "Generalized dividend behavior model and dividend smoothing: theory and empirical evidence," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1529-1561, November.
    9. Suman, Samridhi & Singh, Shveta, 2022. "The Role of Multiple Large Shareholders in Dividend Payouts: Evidence from India," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 25(1), pages 120-151, May.

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