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The Incremental Information Content of Accruals: Evidence Based on the Exponential Smoothing of Levels and Trends in Pre‐Tax Earnings, Funds Flow and Cash Flow

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  • Stuart McLeay
  • John Kassab
  • Mahmoud Helan

Abstract

By arranging the accrual accounting identity as a hierarchy of market response models, this paper investigates whether current and noncurrent accruals have incremental information content beyond earnings. The results indicate that the increase in explanatory power attributable to funds flow and cash flow disclosure can be improved upon by estimating the surprises in reported numbers by exponentially weighting prior values. The unexpected information simplifies to the weighted sum of deviations from the estimated level and estimated trend. Further improvements are obtained by allowing components of the error to vary with time and by company in a non‐autoregressive, homoscedastic pooling scheme which takes account of the joint presence of time series disturbance and cross sectional disturbance.

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  • Stuart McLeay & John Kassab & Mahmoud Helan, 1997. "The Incremental Information Content of Accruals: Evidence Based on the Exponential Smoothing of Levels and Trends in Pre‐Tax Earnings, Funds Flow and Cash Flow," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(7‐8), pages 1147-1167, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:24:y:1997:i:7-8:p:1147-1167
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-5957.00156
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    Cited by:

    1. Akbar, Saeed & Shah, Syed Zulfiqar Ali & Stark, Andrew W., 2011. "The value relevance of cash flows, current accruals, and non-current accruals in the UK," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 311-319.
    2. Takashi Obinata, 2002. "Concept and Relevance of Income," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-171, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    3. Al-Hares, Osama M. & AbuGhazaleh, Naser M. & Haddad, Ayman E., 2012. "Value relevance of earnings, book value and dividends in an emerging capital market: Kuwait evidence," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 221-234.
    4. Nikola Petrovic & Stuart Manson & Jerry Coakley, 2009. "Does Volatility Improve UK Earnings Forecasts?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(9‐10), pages 1148-1179, November.
    5. Nikola Petrovic & Stuart Manson & Jerry Coakley, 2009. "Does Volatility Improve UK Earnings Forecasts?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(9‐10), pages 1148-1179, November.
    6. Ali Al‐Attar & Simon Hussain, 2004. "Corporate Data and Future Cash Flows," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(7‐8), pages 861-903, September.
    7. C.S. Agnes Cheng & Simon S.M. Yang, 2003. "The Incremental Information Content of Earnings and Cash Flows from Operations Affected by Their Extremity," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1‐2), pages 73-116, January.
    8. Ali Al-Attar & Simon Hussain, 2004. "Corporate Data and Future Cash Flows," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(7-8), pages 861-903.

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