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The influence of publication delays on the observed aging distribution of scientific literature

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  • Leo Egghe
  • Ronald Rousseau

Abstract

Observed aging curves are influenced by publication delays. In this article, we show how the “undisturbed” aging function and the publication delay combine to give the observed aging function. This combination is performed by a mathematical operation known as convolution. Examples are given, such as the convolution of two Poisson distributions, two exponential distributions, and two lognormal distributions. A paradox is observed between theory and real data.

Suggested Citation

  • Leo Egghe & Ronald Rousseau, 2000. "The influence of publication delays on the observed aging distribution of scientific literature," Journal of the American Society for Information Science, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 51(2), pages 158-165.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jamest:v:51:y:2000:i:2:p:158-165
    DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1097-4571(2000)51:23.0.CO;2-X
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ed J. Rinia & Thed. N. Van Leeuwen & Eppo E.W. Bruins & Hendrik G. Van Vuren & Anthony F.J. Van Raan, 2001. "Citation delay in interdisciplinary knowledge exchange," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 51(1), pages 293-309, April.
    2. Eline Poelmans & Sandra Rousseau, 2015. "Factors determining authors’ willingness to wait for editorial decisions from economic history journals," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 102(2), pages 1347-1374, February.
    3. Xie, Yundong & Wu, Qiang & Wang, Yezhu & Hou, Li & Liu, Yuanyuan, 2024. "Does the handling time of scientific papers relate to their academic impact and social attention? Evidence from Nature, Science, and PNAS," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2).
    4. Mingyang Wang & Jiaqi Zhang & Guangsheng Chen & Kah-Hin Chai, 2019. "Examining the influence of open access on journals’ citation obsolescence by modeling the actual citation process," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 119(3), pages 1621-1641, June.
    5. Guang Yu & Dong-Hui Yang & Wang Liang, 2010. "Reliability-based citation impact factor and the manipulation of impact factor," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 83(1), pages 259-270, April.
    6. Leo Egghe & I. K. R. Ravichandra Rao, 2002. "Theory and experimentation on the most-recent-reference distribution," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 53(3), pages 371-387, March.
    7. Johan Bollen & Herbert Van de Sompel & Aric Hagberg & Luis Bettencourt & Ryan Chute & Marko A Rodriguez & Lyudmila Balakireva, 2009. "Clickstream Data Yields High-Resolution Maps of Science," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 4(3), pages 1-11, March.
    8. Dalibor Fiala & Cecília Havrilová & Martin Dostal & Ján Paralič, 2016. "Editorial Board Membership, Time to Accept, and the Effect on the Citation Counts of Journal Articles," Publications, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-8, July.
    9. Jingda Ding & Dehui Du, 2023. "A study of the correlation between publication delays and measurement indicators of journal articles in the social network environment—based on online data in PLOS," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 128(3), pages 1711-1743, March.
    10. Guijie Zhang & Yuqiang Feng & Guang Yu & Luning Liu & Yanqiqi Hao, 2017. "Analyzing the time delay between scientific research and technology patents based on the citation distribution model," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 111(3), pages 1287-1306, June.
    11. Guang Yu & Yi-Jun Li, 2010. "Identification of referencing and citation processes of scientific journals based on the citation distribution model," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 82(2), pages 249-261, February.
    12. Guang Yu & Yi-Jun Li, 2007. "Parameter identification of the observed citation distribution," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 71(2), pages 339-348, May.
    13. Pablo Dorta-González & Emilio Gómez-Déniz, 2022. "Modeling the obsolescence of research literature in disciplinary journals through the age of their cited references," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 127(6), pages 2901-2931, June.
    14. Si Shen & Ronald Rousseau & Dongbo Wang & Danhao Zhu & Huoyu Liu & Ruilun Liu, 2015. "Editorial delay and its relation to subsequent citations: the journals Nature, Science and Cell," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 105(3), pages 1867-1873, December.
    15. Bar-Ilan, Judit, 2008. "Informetrics at the beginning of the 21st century—A review," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 1-52.
    16. Rosenstreich, Daniela & Wooliscroft, Ben, 2009. "Measuring the impact of accounting journals using Google Scholar and the g-index," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 227-239.

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