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Expected Inflation and the Constant‐Growth Valuation Model

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  • Michael Bradley
  • Gregg A. Jarrell

Abstract

In the presence of inflation, the standard Constant‐Growth valuation model found throughout the finance literature is not valid in cases where a company either (1) makes no net new investments or (2) invests only in zero Net Present Value projects. If expected inflation is positive, the generally accepted and widely used expression for the value of the firm under either of these two conditions seriously understates the true value of the firm, even with modest levels of inflation. The authors also show that the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), as developed by Modigliani and Miller (M&M), will be misleading if inflation is positive. They provide an adjustment factor that corrects this deficiency of the M&M model. Finally, the authors show that the WACC formula developed by Miles and Ezzell is correct when the parameters are stated in nominal terms, and therefore no adjustment is necessary.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Bradley & Gregg A. Jarrell, 2008. "Expected Inflation and the Constant‐Growth Valuation Model," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 20(2), pages 66-78, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jacrfn:v:20:y:2008:i:2:p:66-78
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1745-6622.2008.00181.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Miles, James A. & Ezzell, John R., 1980. "The Weighted Average Cost of Capital, Perfect Capital Markets, and Project Life: A Clarification," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 719-730, September.
    2. Myers, Stewart C., 1977. "Determinants of corporate borrowing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 147-175, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stefan Dierkes & Ulrich Schäfer, 2021. "Valuation of firms with multiple business units," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 91(4), pages 401-432, May.
    2. Matthias Meitner, 2013. "Multi-period Asset Lifetimes and Accounting-based Equity Valuation: Take Care with Constant-growth Terminal Value Models!," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 49(3), pages 340-366, September.
    3. Jennergren, L. Peter, 2011. "The Conventional Formula for the Nominal Growth Rate of Free Cash Flows is OK -- A Comment on Three Recent Papers in the Journal of Applied Corporate Finance," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 2011:6, Stockholm School of Economics.

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