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Capital Investments and Stock Returns in Japan

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  • Sheridan Titman
  • K.C. John Wei
  • Feixue Xie

Abstract

The negative relation between capital investments and subsequent stock returns, found in the United States, is not observed in Japan, which is inconsistent with the risk‐based explanation. More specifically, we find no significant relation between capital expenditures (CE) and subsequent stock returns for either the entire sample or for keiretsu firms. However, in the pre‐1990 subperiod, there is a positive relation between increased CE and subsequent risk‐adjusted returns among independent firms, especially for those firms that have high cash flows and/or low leverage. These results are consistent with existing evidence that independent firms are financially constrained in the pre‐1990 period and that keiretsu main bank monitoring effectively controls the overinvestment problem.

Suggested Citation

  • Sheridan Titman & K.C. John Wei & Feixue Xie, 2009. "Capital Investments and Stock Returns in Japan," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 9(1‐2), pages 111-131, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:irvfin:v:9:y:2009:i:1-2:p:111-131
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2443.2009.01087.x
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    5. Papanastasopoulos, Georgios & Thomakos, Dimitrios & Wang, Tao, 2011. "Information in balance sheets for future stock returns: Evidence from net operating assets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 269-282.
    6. Bui, Dien Giau & Kong, De-Rong & Lin, Chih-Yung & Lin, Tse-Chun, 2023. "Momentum in machine learning: Evidence from the Taiwan stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
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    8. Tinaikar, Surjit & Xu, Bo, 2023. "Does competition exacerbate investment inefficiencies? Evidence from Japanese firms," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 35-53.
    9. Islam, Md. Rashidul & Hossain, Monirul Alam & Uddin, Mohammad Shamsu & Bahta, Dawit Teclemariam, 2020. "Does Financial Flexibility foster Investment Efficiency? Evidence from an Emerging Market," Asian Business Review, Asian Business Consortium, vol. 10(2), pages 121-136.
    10. Jagannathan, Murali & Jiao, Wei & Wermers, Russ, 2020. "International characteristic-based asset pricing," CFR Working Papers 20-13, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    11. Adriana S. Cordis & Chris Kirby, 2017. "Capital expenditures and firm performance: evidence from a cross†sectional analysis of stock returns," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 57(4), pages 1019-1042, December.
    12. Chou, Pin-Huang & Ko, Kuan-Cheng & Rhee, S. Ghon, 2023. "Comparing competing factor and characteristics models: Evidence in Japan," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).

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