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Why the United Kingdom Should Not Join the Eurozone

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  • Patrick Minford

Abstract

Some years ago I did a fair amount of work on whether Britain should join the euro, in the context of the debate on the ‘five tests’ set out by HM Treasury. Five years on it is an interesting issue to revisit, particularly in the light of the recent banking crisis. In what follows I discuss the potential benefits and costs for the United Kingdom of joining the euro or Economic and Monetary Union, EMU, in much the terms that I did five years ago, because the essential figures and arguments have not changed. This discussion carries no particular implications for other countries: the calculations are highly specific to the United Kingdom. I end up with an effort to put this discussion in the context of the recent crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Minford, 2008. "Why the United Kingdom Should Not Join the Eurozone," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(3), pages 283-295, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:intfin:v:11:y:2008:i:3:p:283-295
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2362.2008.01225.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Patrick Minford & Sakshi Gupta & Vo P.M. Le & Vidya Mahambare & Yongdeng Xu, 2015. "Should Britain Leave the EU?," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 16679.
    2. Ray Barrell & Karen Dury, 2000. "Choosing the Regime: Macroeconomic Effects of UK Entry into EMU," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(4), pages 625-644, November.
    3. Chris Mulhearn & Howard R. Vane, 2005. "The UK and the Euro: Debating the British Decision," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 243-258, February.
    4. Thom, Rodney & Walsh, Brendan, 2002. "The effect of a currency union on trade: Lessons from the Irish experience," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(6), pages 1111-1123, June.
    5. repec:onb:oenbwp:y::i:43:b:1 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Bailey, Martin J. & Tavlas, George S. & Ulan, Michael, 1987. "The impact of exchange-rate volatility on export growth: Some theoretical considerations and empirical results," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 225-243.
    7. Eric van Wincoop & Philippe Bacchetta, 2000. "Does Exchange-Rate Stability Increase Trade and Welfare?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(5), pages 1093-1109, December.
    8. Torsten Persson, 2001. "Currency unions and trade: how large is the treatment effect?," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 16(33), pages 434-448.
    9. McCallum, John, 1995. "National Borders Matter: Canada-U.S. Regional Trade Patterns," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(3), pages 615-623, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stoupos, Nikolaos & Kiohos, Apostolos, 2017. "EU unification and linkages among the European currencies: new evidence from the EU and the EEA," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 28-36.
    2. Eichler, Stefan, 2012. "Financial crisis risk, ECB “non-standard” measures, and the external value of the euro," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 257-265.
    3. Sandeep Mazumder & Ryan Pahl, 2013. "What if the UK had Joined the Euro in 1999?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 447-470, July.

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