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Assessing the Climate Effects of Biofuels Using Integrated Assessment Models, Part I: Methodological Considerations

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  • Richard J. Plevin

Abstract

Estimates of the climate†change mitigation benefits of biofuels are varied and controversial. Some analysts rely on attributional life cycle assessment (ALCA), limiting the analytic scope to the direct supply chain, whereas others supplement an ALCA result with an estimate of land†use change (LUC) emissions intensity. Other analysts have used consequential life cycle assessment (CLCA), with methods ranging from static market assessments to identify the likely marginal product and supplier, to running partial and general equilibrium models to estimate changes in global production and consumption. In this article, we consider another alternative—using an integrated assessment model (IAM) as a platform for CLCA of biofuels. In this article (part I of II), we focus on the methodological challenges of this approach. In part II, we present a case study using one IAM—the global change assessment model (GCAM)—to estimate the climate effects of several biofuels.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard J. Plevin, 2017. "Assessing the Climate Effects of Biofuels Using Integrated Assessment Models, Part I: Methodological Considerations," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 21(6), pages 1478-1487, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:inecol:v:21:y:2017:i:6:p:1478-1487
    DOI: 10.1111/jiec.12507
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    Cited by:

    1. Camilla C. N. Oliveira & Gerd Angelkorte & Pedro R. R. Rochedo & Alexandre Szklo, 2021. "The role of biomaterials for the energy transition from the lens of a national integrated assessment model," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(3), pages 1-22, August.
    2. Seber, Gonca & Escobar, Neus & Valin, Hugo & Malina, Robert, 2022. "Uncertainty in life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of sustainable aviation fuels from vegetable oils," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    3. John M. DeCicco, 2018. "Methodological Issues Regarding Biofuels and Carbon Uptake," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-15, May.
    4. Junming Zhu, 2020. "Suggested use? On evidence‐based decision‐making in industrial ecology and beyond," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 24(5), pages 943-950, October.
    5. Giuntoli, J. & Searle, S. & Jonsson, R. & Agostini, A. & Robert, N. & Amaducci, S. & Marelli, L. & Camia, A., 2020. "Carbon accounting of bioenergy and forest management nexus. A reality-check of modeling assumptions and expectations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    6. Joseph Palazzo & Roland Geyer & Sangwon Suh, 2020. "A review of methods for characterizing the environmental consequences of actions in life cycle assessment," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 24(4), pages 815-829, August.

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