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THE FUTURE SCENARIOS OF CITIES: An Analysis of their Institutional Construction

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  • Salomón González‐Arellano

Abstract

In recent decades, a dominant narrative has emerged in which cities are considered the most decisive places for the future of contemporary societies. In fact, institutional production of such futures grants cities a central function in the becoming of the world. The objective of this essay is to analyze and characterize the institutional construction of future scenarios for cities based on three dimensions, or pillars, of a proposal for an institutional analysis. These dimensions are regulatory, normative and cognitive. The construction of future scenarios can be useful for cities, but it is important to recognize that they are institutional constructions that respond to the interests of individuals or groups and thus reflect visions of the present that reveal the concerns and strategic dimensions of certain actors. In this essay I analyze and characterize a corpus of 101 future scenarios for 81 cities in different countries. The results demonstrate that the future scenarios for cities are institutionalized through the development of regulatory functions, value systems and cognitive and cultural frameworks for organizations and individuals.

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  • Salomón González‐Arellano, 2022. "THE FUTURE SCENARIOS OF CITIES: An Analysis of their Institutional Construction," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 865-873, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ijurrs:v:46:y:2022:i:5:p:865-873
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-2427.13103
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tim Bunnell, 2022. "WHERE IS THE FUTURE? Geography, Expectation and Experience across Three Decades of Malaysia's Vision 2020," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 885-895, September.
    2. Yogita Naruka, 2022. "FUTURE OF A DYING RIVER: Bureaucratic Practices and Negotiated Plans of the Yamuna Riverfront," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 874-884, September.
    3. Julie‐Anne Boudreau, 2022. "CITY OF REPAIR: Practicing the Future in Mexico City," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 851-864, September.
    4. Silvy Chakkalakal & Julie Ren, 2022. "Un/Doing Future, Unsettling Temporalization," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 845-850, September.
    5. Hanna Hilbrandt & Fritz‐Julius Grafe, 2022. "URBAN VISIONS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE FINANCE: Dispossessive Mechanisms of Futuring in the Making of Groy," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 896-905, September.
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    1. Tim Bunnell, 2022. "WHERE IS THE FUTURE? Geography, Expectation and Experience across Three Decades of Malaysia's Vision 2020," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 885-895, September.
    2. Hanna Hilbrandt & Fritz‐Julius Grafe, 2022. "URBAN VISIONS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE FINANCE: Dispossessive Mechanisms of Futuring in the Making of Groy," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 896-905, September.
    3. Silvy Chakkalakal & Julie Ren, 2022. "Un/Doing Future, Unsettling Temporalization," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 845-850, September.
    4. Yogita Naruka, 2022. "FUTURE OF A DYING RIVER: Bureaucratic Practices and Negotiated Plans of the Yamuna Riverfront," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 874-884, September.

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    1. Silvy Chakkalakal & Julie Ren, 2022. "Un/Doing Future, Unsettling Temporalization," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 845-850, September.
    2. Tim Bunnell, 2022. "WHERE IS THE FUTURE? Geography, Expectation and Experience across Three Decades of Malaysia's Vision 2020," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 885-895, September.
    3. Hanna Hilbrandt & Fritz‐Julius Grafe, 2022. "URBAN VISIONS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE FINANCE: Dispossessive Mechanisms of Futuring in the Making of Groy," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 896-905, September.
    4. Julie‐Anne Boudreau, 2022. "CITY OF REPAIR: Practicing the Future in Mexico City," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 851-864, September.

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