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Does price deregulation increase drug price in China? An interrupted time series analysis

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  • Yao Xiong
  • Judy Xu
  • Yuexia Gao

Abstract

Background The Chinese government removed the price ceiling of most drugs in June 2015 to establish a market‐driven pricing system. The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of the elimination of drug ceiling price (EDCP) policy on drug prices. Methods Using a national macro‐level dataset, we employed an interrupted time series method to study the abrupt level and gradual trend changes of Chinese and Western medicine consumer price index (CPI) between June 2014 and June 2017. Results The policy exerted level change on Chinese medicine CPI, increasing 0.201% (95% CI 0.026% to 0.376%, p = 0.026). And the trend in Chinese medicine CPI was still decreased nonsignificantly after the EDCP policy. However, there was no significant price change in Western medicine. Conclusion The EDCP policy has different effects on the prices of Chinese and Western medicines. Therefore, we need to pay more attention to the drug pricing mechanism in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Yao Xiong & Judy Xu & Yuexia Gao, 2021. "Does price deregulation increase drug price in China? An interrupted time series analysis," International Journal of Health Planning and Management, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1653-1665, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ijhplm:v:36:y:2021:i:5:p:1653-1665
    DOI: 10.1002/hpm.3244
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Xu, Judy & Yang, Yue, 2009. "Traditional Chinese medicine in the Chinese health care system," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(2-3), pages 133-139, May.
    2. Hanna Koskinen & Elina Ahola & Leena Saastamoinen & Hennamari Mikkola & Jaana Martikainen, 2014. "The impact of reference pricing and extension of generic substitution on the daily cost of antipsychotic medication in Finland," Health Economics Review, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-10, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pu‐yan Nie & Hong‐xing Wen & Chan Wang, 2023. "Price cap regulation under duopoly," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 1376-1382, April.

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