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Age‐Dependent Increasing Risk Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle

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  • Amadeu DaSilva
  • Mira Farka
  • Christos Giannikos

Abstract

We introduce a new preference structure—age‐dependent increasing risk aversion (IRA)—in a three‐period overlapping generations model with borrowing constraints, and examine the behavior of equity premium in this framework. We find that IRA preferences generate results that are more consistent with U.S. data for the equity premium, level of savings and portfolio shares, without assuming unreasonable levels of risk aversion. We find that the relative difference between the two risk aversions (how much more risk‐averse old agents are relative to the middle‐aged) matters more than the average risk aversion in the economy (how much more risk‐averse both cohorts are). Our findings are robust with respect to a number of model generalizations.

Suggested Citation

  • Amadeu DaSilva & Mira Farka & Christos Giannikos, 2019. "Age‐Dependent Increasing Risk Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 54(2), pages 377-412, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:54:y:2019:i:2:p:377-412
    DOI: 10.1111/fire.12191
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    Cited by:

    1. Phitawat Poonpolkul, 2023. "Age-Dependent Risk Aversion: Re-evaluating Fiscal Policy Impacts of Population Aging," PIER Discussion Papers 198, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Chen, An & Rach, Manuel, 2023. "Actuarial fairness and social welfare in mixed-cohort tontines," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 214-229.
    3. Kayani, Umar Nawaz & Arif, Muhammad & Hoang, Khanh, 2021. "Chairman age and corporate diversification: The cases of old and powerful captains in Chinese firms," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    4. Poonpolkul, Phitawat, 2023. "Age-dependent risk aversion: Re-evaluating fiscal policy impacts of population aging," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    5. Iwanicz-Drozdowska Małgorzata & Rogowicz Karol & Smaga Paweł, 2023. "Market-moving events and their role in portfolio optimization of generations X, Y, and Z," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 59(4), pages 371-397, December.

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