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Option Pricing with Heterogeneous Expectations

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  • Guo, Chen

Abstract

This paper re-derives the finite mixture option pricing model of Ritchey (1990), based on the assumption that the option investors hold heterogeneous expectations about the parameters of the lognormal process of the underlying asset price. By proving that the model admits no riskless arbitrage, this paper justifies that the entire family of finite mixture of lognormal distributions is a desirable candidate set for recovering the risk-neutral probability distributions from contemporaneous options quotes. The parametric method derived from the model is significantly simpler than the nonparametric method of Rubinstein (1994) for recovering the risk-neutral probability distributions from contemporaneous option prices. Copyright 1998 by MIT Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Guo, Chen, 1998. "Option Pricing with Heterogeneous Expectations," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 33(4), pages 81-92, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:33:y:1998:i:4:p:81-92
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    Cited by:

    1. Frijns, Bart & Lehnert, Thorsten & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2010. "Behavioral heterogeneity in the option market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 2273-2287, November.
    2. Christian Wolff & Thorsten Lehnert & Cokki Versluis, 2009. "A Cumulative Prospect Theory Approach to Option Pricing," LSF Research Working Paper Series 09-03, Luxembourg School of Finance, University of Luxembourg.
    3. Dammak, Wael & Boutouria, Nahla & Ben Hamad, Salah & de Peretti, Christian, 2023. "Investor behavior in the currency option market during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    4. Ziegler, Alexandre, 2002. "State-price densities under heterogeneous beliefs, the smile effect, and implied risk aversion," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(8), pages 1539-1557, September.

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