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The Role of Default Risk in Determining the Market Reaction to Debt Announcements

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  • Best, Ronald W

Abstract

The stock price reaction to straight debt announcements is examined by differentiating firms on the basis of any subsequent change in their overall default risk. Results indicate that firms that will within six months of straight debt announcements undergo debt rating downgrades experience significant negative abnormal stock returns at the time of the new debt announcement, while firms with bond ratings that are later upgraded exhibit significant positive abnormal returns. Multiple regression analysis shows these results to be robust to the influence of filing size, tax shield effects, relative pre-announcement long-term debt levels, and subordination effects. Copyright 1997 by MIT Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Best, Ronald W, 1997. "The Role of Default Risk in Determining the Market Reaction to Debt Announcements," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 32(1), pages 87-105, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:32:y:1997:i:1:p:87-105
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    Cited by:

    1. Afik, Zvika & Zabolotnyuk, Yuriy, 2023. "Information effect of credit rating announcements in transition economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Yuriy Zabolotnyuk, 2018. "Wealth Effects of Bond Rating Announcements," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 22(3-4), pages 211-254, September.
    3. Chan, Pak To & Edwards, Vic & Walter, Terry, 2009. "The information content of Australian credit ratings: A comparison between subscription and non-subscription-based credit rating agencies," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 22-44, March.
    4. Rosella Castellano & Rita D’Ecclesia, 2013. "CDS volatility: the key signal of credit quality," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 205(1), pages 89-107, May.
    5. Karen C. Castro-González, 2012. "Information Content Of Changes In Pension Plan Funding Status And Long-Term Debt," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 6(1), pages 1-14.

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