IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/ecnote/v51y2022i1ne12194.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Is the value effect due to M&A deals? Evidence from the Italian stock market

Author

Listed:
  • Antonio Roma

Abstract

This paper empirically characterises the value effect detected in the Italian stock market for the sample period 2000–2018 based on the value premium offered for the acquisition of a value stock. Bids on value stock (as opposed to bids on growth stocks) generate a large and statistically significant average return on the holding of the target in the deal window. Returns on target stocks for a bid make up to two‐thirds of the average return on the long side of the Fama and French high book‐to‐market minus low book‐to‐market (HML) portfolio. The other significant component of the average return of HML is due to short‐selling small‐growth stocks. As evidenced in previous literature, this is often difficult to implement from a practical point of view.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonio Roma, 2022. "Is the value effect due to M&A deals? Evidence from the Italian stock market," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(1), February.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecnote:v:51:y:2022:i:1:n:e12194
    DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12194
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecno.12194
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/ecno.12194?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. "On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March.
    2. Mark Mitchell & Todd Pulvino, 2001. "Characteristics of Risk and Return in Risk Arbitrage," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(6), pages 2135-2175, December.
    3. Martin Lettau & Sydney Ludvigson, 2001. "Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A Cross-Sectional Test When Risk Premia Are Time-Varying," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 109(6), pages 1238-1287, December.
    4. Annalisa Aleati & Pietro Gottardo & Maurizio Murgia, 2000. "The Pricing of Italian Equity Returns," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 29(2), pages 153-177, July.
    5. John A. Doukas & Meng Li, 2009. "Asymmetric Asset Price Reaction to News and Arbitrage Risk," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 1(1/2), pages 23-43, September.
    6. Keown, Arthur J & Pinkerton, John M, 1981. "Merger Announcements and Insider Trading Activity: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(4), pages 855-869, September.
    7. Lu Zhang, 2005. "The Value Premium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(1), pages 67-103, February.
    8. Gurvinder Brar & Daniel Giamouridis & Manolis Liodakis, 2009. "Predicting European Takeover Targets," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 15(2), pages 430-450, March.
    9. Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1997. "The Limits of Arbitrage," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 35-55, March.
    10. Giuseppe Alesii, 2006. "Fundamentals Efficiency of the Italian Stock Market: Some Long Run Evidence," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 5(3), pages 245-264, December.
    11. Heaton, John & Lucas, Deborah J, 1996. "Evaluating the Effects of Incomplete Markets on Risk Sharing and Asset Pricing," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 104(3), pages 443-487, June.
    12. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1996. "Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 55-84, March.
    13. Loughran, Tim, 1997. "Book-to-Market across Firm Size, Exchange, and Seasonality: Is There an Effect?," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(3), pages 249-268, September.
    14. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    15. Hang Li & Dan Zhou, 2019. "The impact of possible-offer announcements on the wealth effect of target firms," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(15), pages 1440-1461, October.
    16. Anna Pirogova & Antonio Roma, 2020. "Performance of value‐ and size‐based strategies in the Italian stock market," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 49(1), February.
    17. Baker, Malcolm & Savasoglu, Serkan, 2002. "Limited arbitrage in mergers and acquisitions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 91-115, April.
    18. Doukas, John A. & Kim, Chansog (Francis) & Pantzalis, Christos, 2010. "Arbitrage Risk and Stock Mispricing," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(4), pages 907-934, August.
    19. Jarrell, Gregg A & Poulsen, Annette B, 1989. "Stock Trading before the Announcement of Tender Offers: Insider Trading or Market Anticipation?," The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 5(2), pages 225-248, Fall.
    20. Palepu, Krishna G., 1986. "Predicting takeover targets : A methodological and empirical analysis," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 3-35, March.
    21. Maria Rosa Borges & Ricardo Gairifo, 2013. "Abnormal returns before acquisition announcements: evidence from Europe," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(26), pages 3723-3732, September.
    22. Harold Mulherin & Serif Aziz Simsir, 2015. "Measuring Deal Premiums in Takeovers," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 44(1), pages 1-14, March.
    23. Cao, Charles & Goldie, Bradley A. & Liang, Bing & Petrasek, Lubomir, 2016. "What Is the Nature of Hedge Fund Manager Skills? Evidence from the Risk-Arbitrage Strategy," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(3), pages 929-957, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stefan Nagel, 2013. "Empirical Cross-Sectional Asset Pricing," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 5(1), pages 167-199, November.
    2. Cochrane, John H., 2005. "Financial Markets and the Real Economy," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(1), pages 1-101, July.
    3. Cederburg, Scott & O’Doherty, Michael S., 2015. "Asset-pricing anomalies at the firm level," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 113-128.
    4. Brav, Alon & Geczy, Christopher & Gompers, Paul A., 2000. "Is the abnormal return following equity issuances anomalous?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 209-249, May.
    5. Praveen Kumar Das & S P Uma Rao, 2011. "Value Premiums And The January Effect: International Evidence," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 5(4), pages 1-15.
    6. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, June.
    7. Yuan Gao & Derek Oler, 2012. "Rumors and pre-announcement trading: why sell target stocks before acquisition announcements?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 39(4), pages 485-508, November.
    8. Xiafei Li & Chris Brooks & Joëlle Miffre, 2009. "The Value Premium and Time-Varying Volatility," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(9-10), pages 1252-1272.
    9. John Y. Campbell, 2000. "Asset Pricing at the Millennium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1515-1567, August.
    10. Committee, Nobel Prize, 2013. "Understanding Asset Prices," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2013-1, Nobel Prize Committee.
    11. Dittmar, Robert F. & Lundblad, Christian T., 2017. "Firm characteristics, consumption risk, and firm-level risk exposures," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(2), pages 326-343.
    12. Lu Zhang, 2017. "The Investment CAPM," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(4), pages 545-603, September.
    13. Ho, Kin-Yip & An, Jiyoun, 2020. "Decomposing the value premium: The role of intangible information in the Chinese stock market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    14. Cooper, Michael J. & Gubellini, Stefano, 2011. "The critical role of conditioning information in determining if value is really riskier than growth," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 289-305, March.
    15. Calvet, Laurent E. & Betermier, Sebastien & Jo, Evan, 2019. "A Supply and Demand Approach to Equity Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 13974, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    16. Gregory Connor & Lisa R. Goldberg & Robert A. Korajczyk, 2010. "Portfolio Risk Analysis," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 9224.
    17. David C. Ling & Andy Naranjo & Benjamin Scheick, 2014. "Investor Sentiment, Limits to Arbitrage and Private Market Returns," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 42(3), pages 531-577, September.
    18. Ferguson, Colin & Finn, Frank & Hall, Jason & Pinnuck, Matt, 2010. "Speculation and e-commerce: The long and the short of IT," International Journal of Accounting Information Systems, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 79-104.
    19. Praveen Kumar Das & S. P. Uma Rao, 2012. "Is The Value Effect Seasonal? Evidence From Global Equity Markets," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 6(2), pages 21-33.
    20. Fangming Xu & Huainan Zhao & Liyi Zheng, 2022. "Investment momentum: A two‐dimensional behavioural strategy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1191-1207, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:ecnote:v:51:y:2022:i:1:n:e12194. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0391-5026 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.