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The Diagnosis and Prediction of Bank Failures in Zambia, 1990–98

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  • Samuel Munzele Maimbo

Abstract

This article presents a non‐econometric, yet practical approach for regulators in developing countries. With limited financial resources to determine the ‘safety and soundness’ of a large number of financial institutuions, regulatory authorities are appreciative of any kind of mechanism that can identify banks that are in financial difficulties. The Zambian case is interesting, in that the bank failures of 1995 and 1997/8 brought into question the ability of the central bank to diagnose the financial condition of banks. This article evaluates the Bank of Zambia's experience over the period 1990 to March 1998 and makes recommendations on how to improve diagnosis and prediction of bank failures by incorporating non‐financial factors into the analysis of bank performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Samuel Munzele Maimbo, 2002. "The Diagnosis and Prediction of Bank Failures in Zambia, 1990–98," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 20(3), pages 261-278, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:devpol:v:20:y:2002:i:3:p:261-278
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-7679.00170
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    Cited by:

    1. Jililian, Hossein & Kirkpatrick, Colin & Parker, David, 2003. "Creating the Conditions for International Business Expansion: The Impact of Regulation on Economic Growth in Developing Countries - A Cross-Country Analysis," Development Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 30554, University of Manchester, Institute for Development Policy and Management (IDPM).

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