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Oil Curse And Institutional Changes: Which Institutions Are Most Vulnerable To The Curse And Under What Circumstances?

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  • Luisa R. Blanco
  • Jeffrey B. Nugent
  • Kelsey J. O'Connor

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="coep12077-abs-0001"> This article extends recent analyses linking the alleged oil curse to a broader set of institutions (13 in number) than democracy, the institution that has received the most attention in the literature. It does so using panel data for over 100 countries between 1975 and 2005, wherever possible, and compares the effects obtained with several different measures of both the importance of oil and experience in the industry and of the interactions between them. Most importantly, instead of simply examining the effect of oil and experience in the industry on the contemporary levels of these various institutions, this study focuses on the effects on changes in the various institutional indicators from one decade to another. While not surprisingly our results reveal considerable sensitivity in the effects of oil resources, oil experience, and interactions across different specifications, they also suggest a number of important findings. The most robust of these are the significant negative effects of oil rents on bureaucratic quality and on socioeconomic conditions. We also find that the number of years since peak oil discovery has a positive effect on government stability, but a negative one on bureaucratic quality. When interactions are allowed for, still more negative effects on institutions are identified, at least partially re-enforcing several of the institutional links in the oil curse hypothesis. (JEL O13, P16)

Suggested Citation

  • Luisa R. Blanco & Jeffrey B. Nugent & Kelsey J. O'Connor, 2015. "Oil Curse And Institutional Changes: Which Institutions Are Most Vulnerable To The Curse And Under What Circumstances?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 33(2), pages 229-249, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:coecpo:v:33:y:2015:i:2:p:229-249
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/coep.2015.33.issue-2
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Colin O’Reilly & Ryan H. Murphy, 2017. "Exogenous Resource Shocks and Economic Freedom," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 59(3), pages 243-260, September.
    2. Colin O'Reilly & Ryan H. Murphy, 2017. "Do Institutions Mitigate The Risk Of Natural Resource Conflicts?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 35(3), pages 532-541, July.
    3. Liu, Zhen & Tang, Yuk Ming & Chau, Ka Yin & Chien, Fengsheng & Iqbal, Wasim & Sadiq, Muhammad, 2021. "Incorporating strategic petroleum reserve and welfare losses: A way forward for the policy development of crude oil resources in South Asia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    4. Yang, Yang & Liu, Zhen & Saydaliev, Hayot Berk & Iqbal, Sajid, 2022. "Economic impact of crude oil supply disruption on social welfare losses and strategic petroleum reserves," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    5. Alssadek, Marwan & Benhin, James, 2023. "Natural resource curse: A literature survey and comparative assessment of regional groupings of oil-rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    6. Bybert Moudjare Helgath, "undated". "Oil rent and the quality of institutions in Sub-Saharan African countries: Evidence using the dynamic panel threshold model," Review of Socio - Economic Perspectives 202192, Reviewsep.
    7. Laszlo Szalai, 2018. "Institutions and Resource-driven Development," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 4(1), pages 39-53, June.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • P16 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Capitalist Institutions; Welfare State

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