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Crisis, Stimulus Package and Migration in China

Author

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  • Maria Csanádi
  • Zihan Nie
  • Shi Li

Abstract

Authors of this paper trace the influence of the 2008 global crisis and the impact of the subsequently implemented stimulus package on the characteristics of migrant flow in China until 2012. They analyze the consequences of the temporary but dramatic economic set-back on migrant employment and that of the booming investments incited by the stimulus package. The paper reveals that the set-back caused dramatic temporary rise of migrant unemployment; it also had regional character due to the coastal concentration of exports hit by the crisis, determining earlier the direction of migrant flow. Regional priorities of the stimulus package reinforced the redirection of migrants away from the coast towards central and western regions. Migration routes also shortened partly because migrants's destination shifted closer to their home-town region and also by increasingly finding workplace within their own province during the researched period. The stimulus package restructured migrant routes of the pre-crisis period not only according to its regional priorities, but also according to sectoral priorities from manufacturing towards the construction sector. The restructuring, combined with increased number of migrants, shows both temporary and steady features as migrants adapt to the dynamics of the impact of the stimulus package and to respective economic reactions.
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Suggested Citation

  • Maria Csanádi & Zihan Nie & Shi Li, 2015. "Crisis, Stimulus Package and Migration in China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 23(5), pages 43-62, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:chinae:v:23:y:2015:i:5:p:43-62
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/cwe.2015.23.issue-5
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    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Daisy J. & Leung, Charles K. & Qu, Baozhi, 2015. "Do bank loans and local amenities explain Chinese urban house prices?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 19-38.
    2. Melo, Grace & Ames, Glenn, 2016. "Driving Factors of Rural-Urban Migration in China," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235508, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Maria Csanádi & Ferenc Gyuris, 2020. "Uneven Economic Overheating in a Transforming Party-State During the Global Crisis: The Case of China," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 2036, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    4. Wang, Haining & Cheng, Zhiming, 2022. "Kids eat free: School feeding and family spending on education," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 196-212.
    5. Sen Li & Jianfa Shen, 2024. "Dynamics of Intercity Migration Propensity in China: Evidence from an Age-Period-Cohort Analysis," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 43(5), pages 1-24, October.
    6. Bonde, Magnus & Song, Han-Suck, 2016. "“Green” refurbishments under uncertainty," Working Paper Series 15/11, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • P23 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Factor and Product Markets; Industry Studies; Population
    • F5 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy
    • R2 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis
    • J08 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics Policies

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