IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bjz/ajisjr/1594.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroeconomic Determinants of Households’ Credit Risk: Empiric Evidences from Macedonia

Author

Listed:
  • Lindita Muaremi
  • Drini Salko

Abstract

In general, the credit risk is considered as more problematic risk for the banking system. Credit given by banks is divided into loans for business and loans to individuals. The effects of the financial and debt crisis are also felt in Macedonia. This is especially noticeable after 2010, from the growth of non-performing loans against total loans granted. The non-performing individuals’ loan is a measure of credit risk of individuals. It is of particular interest to investigate the factors that determine the behavior of non-performing loans to individuals. This study sheds light on the effects that macroeconomic factors have on the credit risk of individuals. The analysis of time series and the rigorous application of the econometric model challenged the strong and significant connection of the risk free interest rate, the index of house prices, the exchange rate and economic growth of the credit risk of individuals. All these factors have a positive relationship with this risk, with the exception of economic growth. It is more than logical that an improvement of economic growth will lower the credit risk of the individual, because the rate of non-performing loans to individuals will decrease. Economic growth means an increase in the opportunities to pay back the loan. Policies with focus on economic growth, could lead to a softening of the credit risk of individuals.

Suggested Citation

  • Lindita Muaremi & Drini Salko, 2016. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Households’ Credit Risk: Empiric Evidences from Macedonia," Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Richtmann Publishing Ltd, vol. 5, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bjz:ajisjr:1594
    DOI: 10.5901/ajis.2016.v5n3s1p351
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.richtmann.org/journal/index.php/ajis/article/view/9805
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.richtmann.org/journal/index.php/ajis/article/view/9805/9443
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5901/ajis.2016.v5n3s1p351?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mr. Mohsin S. Khan & Mr. Abdelhak S Senhadji, 2000. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: An Overview," IMF Working Papers 2000/209, International Monetary Fund.
    2. repec:onb:oenbwp:y:2002:i:3:b:3 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Harvir Kalirai & Martin Scheicher, 2002. "Macroeconomic Stress Testing: Preliminary Evidence for Austria," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 58-74.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jung-Suk Yu & M. Kabir Hassan & Abdullah Mamun & Abul Hassan, 2014. "Financial Sectors Reform and Economic Growth in Morocco: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 13(1), pages 69-102, April.
    2. repec:agr:journl:v:4(605):y:2015:i:4(605):p:229-236 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:agr:journl:v:3(604):y:2015:i:3(604):p:171-186 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Amassoma Ditimi & Azeez Oluwatobiloba, 2020. "Capital Inflows, Financial Deepening And Economic Growth Nexus: The Missing Link," Economic Review: Journal of Economics and Business, University of Tuzla, Faculty of Economics, vol. 18(1), pages 61-73, May.
    5. Halil D. Kaya, 2021. "The Impact Of The 2008 Global Crisis On The Efficiency Of The Financial System," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 5, pages 86-97, October.
    6. Rasmus Kattai, 2010. "Credit risk model for the Estonian banking sector," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2010-01, Bank of Estonia, revised 04 Feb 2010.
    7. Cândida Ferreira, 2021. "Financial development and macroeconomic performance: a panel data approach," Working Papers REM 2021/0173, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    8. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2005. "Inflation and Balanced-Path Growth with Alternative Payment Mechanisms," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(500), pages 247-270, January.
    9. Jagadish Prasad Bist & Nar Bahadur Bista, 2018. "Finance–Growth Nexus in Nepal: An Application of the ARDL Approach in the Presence of Structural Breaks," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 43(4), pages 236-249, December.
    10. Mr. Ludvig Söderling, 2002. "Escaping the Curse of Oil? The Case of Gabon," IMF Working Papers 2002/093, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Emam, Sherief & Grebel, Thomas, 2014. "Rising energy prices and advances in renewable energy technologies," Ilmenau Economics Discussion Papers 91, Ilmenau University of Technology, Institute of Economics.
    12. Martin Èihák, 2005. "Stress Testing of Banking Systems (in English)," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 55(9-10), pages 418-440, September.
    13. Virolainen, Kimmo, 2004. "Macro stress testing with a macroeconomic credit risk model for Finland," Research Discussion Papers 18/2004, Bank of Finland.
    14. Iimi, Atsushi, 2004. "Banking sector reforms in Pakistan: economies of scale and scope, and cost complementarities," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 507-528, June.
    15. Donou-Adonsou, Ficawoyi & Sylwester, Kevin, 2017. "Growth effect of banks and microfinance: Evidence from developing countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 44-56.
    16. Ada Aliaj & Rovena Vangjel, 2023. "Financial Development and Its Impact on the Shadow Economy in Albania," Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Richtmann Publishing Ltd, vol. 12, May.
    17. Ijaz Ur Rehman & Muhammad Shahbaz & Phouphet Kyophilavong, 2016. "Do Technological Development and Financial Development Promote Economic Growth: Fresh Evidence from Romania," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 4(2), pages 60-76, February.
    18. Salah S. ABOSEDRA & Hassan ALY & Ali F. DARRAT, 2001. "Assessing the Role of Financial Deepening in Business Cycles: The Experience of the United Arab Emirates," Middle East and North Africa 330400001, EcoMod.
    19. Rajesh Sharma & Samaresh Bardhan, 2017. "Finance growth nexus across Indian states: evidences from panel cointegration and causality tests," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 50(1), pages 1-20, February.
    20. Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Vilsmeier, Johannes, 2010. "How resilient is the German banking system to macroeconomic shocks?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 1839-1848, August.
    21. Satyananda Sahoo, 2014. "Financial Intermediation and Growth: Bank-Based versus Market-Based Systems," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 8(2), pages 93-114, May.
    22. Michael D. Bordo & Marc Flandreau, 2003. "Core, Periphery, Exchange Rate Regimes, and Globalization," NBER Chapters, in: Globalization in Historical Perspective, pages 417-472, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bjz:ajisjr:1594. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Richtmann Publishing Ltd (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.richtmann.org/journal/index.php/ajis .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.