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Earning from History? Financial Markets and the Approach of World Wars

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  • Niall Ferguson

    (Harvard University)

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  • Niall Ferguson, 2008. "Earning from History? Financial Markets and the Approach of World Wars," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 39(1 (Spring), pages 431-490.
    • Handle: RePEc:bin:bpeajo:v:39:y:2008:i:2008-01:p:431-490
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    File URL: https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2008/03/2008a_bpea_ferguson.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. William D. Nordhaus, 2002. "The Economic Consequences of a War with Iraq," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1387, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    2. Frey, Bruno S. & Kucher, Marcel, 2000. "World War II as reflected on capital markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 187-191, November.
    3. Frey, Bruno S. & Kucher, Marcel, 2000. "History as Reflected in Capital Markets: The Case of World War II," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 60(2), pages 468-496, June.
    4. Daniel Waldenstr�m & Bruno S. Frey, "undated". "How Government Bond Prices Reflect Wartime Events - The Case of the Stockholm Market," IEW - Working Papers 102, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
    5. Philippe Jorion & William N. Goetzmann, 1999. "Global Stock Markets in the Twentieth Century," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(3), pages 953-980, June.
    6. Moore, Lyndon & Kaluzny, Jakub, 2005. "Regime change and debt default: the case of Russia, Austro-Hungary, and the Ottoman empire following World War One," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 237-258, April.
    7. repec:bla:econom:v:69:y:2002:i:276:p:655-69 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. William D. Nordhaus, 2002. "The Economic Consequences of a War in Iraq," NBER Working Papers 9361, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Newton, Scott, 1996. "Profits of Peace: The Political Economy of Anglo-German Appeasement," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198202127.
    10. Ferguson, Niall & Schularick, Moritz, 2006. "The Empire Effect: The Determinants of Country Risk in the First Age of Globalization, 1880–1913," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 66(2), pages 283-312, June.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Tapia, Pablo & Pastén, Boris & Sepulveda Velasquez, Jorge, 2022. "Performance of the Chinese energy market in times of Russian military interventions," MPRA Paper 112747, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Hudson, Robert & Urquhart, Andrew, 2022. "Naval disasters, world war two and the British stock market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    5. Finer, David Andrew, 2022. "No Shock Waves through Wall Street? Market Responses to the Risk of Nuclear War," Working Papers 318, The University of Chicago Booth School of Business, George J. Stigler Center for the Study of the Economy and the State.
    6. Stephen Ciccone & Fred R. Kaen & Huimin Li, 2018. "The Fortunes of War and Aircraft Manufacturer Stock Returns: The Case of the Korean War," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 44(2), pages 211-241, April.
    7. Linhai Zhao & Ehsan Rasoulinezhad & Tapan Sarker & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2023. "Effects of COVID-19 on Global Financial Markets: Evidence from Qualitative Research for Developed and Developing Economies," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 35(1), pages 148-166, February.
    8. Tam NguyenHuu & Deniz Karaman Orsal, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and financial stress in emerging economies," Working Papers 2022.09, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.

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