IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bes/jnlbes/v11y1993i3p265-77.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

World Temperature-Trend Uncertainties and Their Implications for Economic Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Seater, John J

Abstract

Three data sets on world temperature are studied. Data on direct measurements of world temperature over the past century yield trend estimates of 0.45 degrees Celsius per century with rather wide confidence intervals of (0.15, 0.75). The data's behavior raises questions about whether the trend is genuine or due to greenhouse-gas emissions. Data on temperature measurements inferred from tree rings over the past 1,500 years display no trend. The upward drift over the past century could easily be a cyclical upswing of the type that has occurred many times in the past.

Suggested Citation

  • Seater, John J, 1993. "World Temperature-Trend Uncertainties and Their Implications for Economic Policy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(3), pages 265-277, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bes:jnlbes:v:11:y:1993:i:3:p:265-77
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sean D. Campbell & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 6-16, March.
    2. Baillie, Richard T. & Chung, Sang-Kuck, 2002. "Modeling and forecasting from trend-stationary long memory models with applications to climatology," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 215-226.
    3. Baillie, Richard T., 1996. "Long memory processes and fractional integration in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 5-59, July.
    4. repec:wvu:wpaper:09-04 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. David Harvey & Terence Mills, 2002. "Unit roots and double smooth transitions," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(5), pages 675-683.
    6. Marques, G.O.L.C., 2011. "Empirical aspects of the Whittle-based maximum likelihood method in jointly estimating seasonal and non-seasonal fractional integration parameters," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(1), pages 8-17.
    7. Balvers, Ronald & Du, Ding & Zhao, Xiaobing, 2012. "The Adverse Impact of Gradual Temperature Change on Capital Investment," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124676, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Georgiana Moiceanu & Mirela Nicoleta Dinca, 2021. "Climate Change-Greenhouse Gas Emissions Analysis and Forecast in Romania," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-21, November.
    9. Balvers, Ronald & Du, Ding & Zhao, Xiaobing, 2017. "Temperature shocks and the cost of equity capital: Implications for climate change perceptions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 18-34.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bes:jnlbes:v:11:y:1993:i:3:p:265-77. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Christopher F. Baum (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.amstat.org/publications/jbes/index.cfm?fuseaction=main .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.