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Uticaj Demografskih Promena Na Tržište Rada U Srbiji (Impact Of Demographic Changes On The Labor Market In Serbia)

Author

Listed:
  • Milica Anđelković Đoković
  • Biljana Jovanović Gavrilović

Abstract

U ovom radu se traži odgovor na pitanje „Da li Srbiji preti kriza nedostatka radnika?“, a u svetlu uticaja depopulacije i sve starijeg stanovništva. Na prvi pogled, čini se, demografski trendovi utiču pozitivno na tržište rada - stope aktivnosti i zaposlenosti rastu, dok stopa nezaposlenosti kontinuirano pada. Međutim, dugoročni rast privrede ozbiljno je ugrožen smanjenjem broja stanovnika radnog uzrasta. Projekcije pokazuju da bi se Srbija, u zavisnosti od brzine rasta privrede, mogla suočiti sa krizom nedostatka radnika već u narednim godinama (2025-2027) u slučaju bržeg rasta ili u narednih nekoliko decenija (2040-2050) u slučaju nešto sporijeg rasta. Pojedini poslodavci navode da se već suočavaju sa poteškoćama u pronalaženju radnika. Analiza skreće pažnju kreatorima politika da se sa negativnim posledicama demografskog starenja moraju boriti pre svega politikama aktivacije stanovništva, a ne populacionim politikama (jer su one deo rešenja, ali u dugom roku).

Suggested Citation

  • Milica Anđelković Đoković & Biljana Jovanović Gavrilović, 2024. "Uticaj Demografskih Promena Na Tržište Rada U Srbiji (Impact Of Demographic Changes On The Labor Market In Serbia)," Ekonomske ideje i praksa, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, issue 52, pages 35-49, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:beo:ekidpr:y:2024:i:52:p:35-49
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    depopulacija; starenje stanovništva; nedostatak radnika;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J08 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics Policies
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J20 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - General

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