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Makroekonomska Efikasnost Obnovljivih Izvora Energije – Uticaj Na Bdp (Macroeconomic Efficiency Of Renewable Energy Sources – Impact On Gdp)

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  • Nemanja Backović

Abstract

U ovom radu analizira se mogućnost korišćenja obnovljivih izvora energije sa aspekta makroekonomske efikasnosti. Fokus je na uticaju obnovljive energije na održivi energetski sistem, uz poseban osvrt na pokazatelje finansijske isplativosti i dugoročnog ekonomskog rasta. Istraživanje značaja navedenih izvora za makroekonomske indikatore poslovanja sprovodi se sa ciljem predviđanja efekata na investicije, potrošnju, platni bilans i zaposlenost. Primenom modela strukturnih jednačina i dekompozicijom bruto domaćeg proizvoda dolazi se do relevantnih informacija o uticaju obnovljivih izvora energije na platni bilans, efekat supstitucije uvoza i neto investicije. Polazeći od metodologije u radu koja ukazuje na pozitivnu korelaciju rasta udela obnovljive energije sa rastom investicija, ali ne i sa rastom trgovinskog bilansa, sagledana je perspektiva povećanja bruto domaćeg proizvoda i analize verodostojnosti postavke modela. Ispitane su implikacije na ekonomski rast uz predlog optimalnog udela obnovljivih izvora u diversifikovanom portfoliju održivog sektora energetike. Predložena metodologija istraživanja u radu potvrđuje opravdanost i ekonomsku isplativost ulaganja u obnovljive izvore energije na dugi rok. Predloženi model se može koristiti i za ispitivanje pojedinačnog uticaja različitih izvora obnovljive energije na nacionalnom nivou.

Suggested Citation

  • Nemanja Backović, 2017. "Makroekonomska Efikasnost Obnovljivih Izvora Energije – Uticaj Na Bdp (Macroeconomic Efficiency Of Renewable Energy Sources – Impact On Gdp)," Ekonomske ideje i praksa, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, issue 27, pages 79-89, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:beo:ekidpr:y:2017:i:27:p:79-89
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    makroekonomska efikasnost; obnovljivi izvori energije; model strukturnih jednačina; BDP;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting

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