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The economic performance of Spanish provinces during 2020 and its determinants

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  • Alejandro Fernández Cerezo

Abstract

This article presents an estimation of changes in provincial GDP over the course of 2020. The pandemic’s impact on activity has been highly uneven across Spain’s provinces, with the island provinces and those on the Mediterranean coast being the most affected. The factors that lie behind this disparity are also explored. The steepest declines in activity were associated with a greater weight of tourism – particularly inbound tourism – in provincial activity, a higher proportion of temporary employment, a lower weight for the public sector and lower levels of public mobility. However, after controlling for the effects related to mobility and economic structure, the excess mortality prompted by the pandemic does not appear to be a significant variable in explaining the cross-province differences in GDP change during 2020.

Suggested Citation

  • Alejandro Fernández Cerezo, 2021. "The economic performance of Spanish provinces during 2020 and its determinants," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 1/2021.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:journl:y:2021:i:03:d:aa:n:03
    Note: Analytical Articles
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    File URL: https://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/InformesBoletinesRevistas/ArticulosAnaliticos/21/T1/descargar/Files/be2101-art03e.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Ángel Luis Gómez & Ana del Río, 2021. "El impacto desigual de la crisis sanitaria sobre las economías del área del euro en 2020," Occasional Papers 2115, Banco de España.
    2. Ángel Luis Gómez & Ana del Río, 2021. "The uneven impact of the health crisis on the euro area economies in 2020," Occasional Papers 2115, Banco de España.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    mobility; regional economics; COVID-19.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • P25 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics

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