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Brexit: situación y consecuencias económicas

Author

Listed:
  • Alejandro Buesa
  • Coral García
  • Iván Kataryniuk
  • César Martín-Machuca
  • Susana Moreno
  • Moritz Roth

Abstract

La salida efectiva del Reino Unido de la Unión Europea (UE) abre un nuevo período en las relaciones entre ambas áreas. La crisis sanitaria actual limita el margen de maniobra de las políticas económicas para acomodar los costes de transición a una nueva relación económica, cualquiera que sea su forma definitiva. En este artículo se describen los desarrollos más recientes en el proceso de negociación y se dibujan tres posibles escenarios para la futura relación comercial entre el Reino Unido y la UE, con simulaciones del potencial impacto macroeconómico de cada uno de ellos. Asimismo, en un recuadro se expone la evolución reciente de las relaciones comerciales y financieras entre el Reino Unido y España.

Suggested Citation

  • Alejandro Buesa & Coral García & Iván Kataryniuk & César Martín-Machuca & Susana Moreno & Moritz Roth, 2020. "Brexit: situación y consecuencias económicas," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 4/2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:joures:y:2020:i:12:d:aa:n:40
    Note: Artículos Analíticos
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Brexit; NiGEM; análisis de escenarios; aranceles; barreras no arancelarias; migración; IED.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F53 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations

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