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Impacto global de una desaceleración en China

Author

Listed:
  • Xu Bing
  • Moritz Roth
  • Daniel Santabárbara

Abstract

Una desaceleración acusada y sostenida de la economía china, dada su importancia sistémica, afecta a la economía global no solo por su peso en el PIB mundial, sino también por su conexión con otras economías, tanto en el frente comercial como en los mercados de materias primas y, de manera más incipiente, en el sistema financiero global. Indirectamente, los desarrollos en China también tienen efectos sobre la incertidumbre y la confianza globales. En este artículo se presentan algunas simulaciones del impacto negativo que tendría sobre la economía mundial, y sobre la Unión Económica y Monetaria en particular, una desaceleración de la economía china más intensa de lo que esperan los principales analistas. En concreto, una desaceleración adicional del crecimiento anual de China de 1 punto porcentual (pp) induciría una reducción del crecimiento mundial de 0,4 pp en un año con efectos especialmente significativos en los productores de materias primas y en las economías asiáticas.

Suggested Citation

  • Xu Bing & Moritz Roth & Daniel Santabárbara, 2019. "Impacto global de una desaceleración en China," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue DIC.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:joures:y:2019:i:12:d:aa:n:37
    Note: Artículos Analíticos
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    Cited by:

    1. Johan Axcel Torres Bonilla & Fiorella Melissa Arena Pariona Marcos & Pedro Bernabe Venegas Rodriguez & Nivardo Alonzo Santill¨¢n Zapata & Jimmy Alberth Deza Quispe, 2021. "Personnel Expenses and Productivity Change in Peruvian Stock Mining Companies," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 12(3), pages 181-192, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; reequilibro económico; spillovers; materias primas;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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