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Factors Behind the 2014 Oil Price Decline

Author

Listed:
  • Reinhard Ellwanger
  • Benjamin Sawatzky
  • Konrad Zmitrowicz

    (Bank of Canada)

Abstract

Oil prices have declined sharply over the past three years. While both supply and demand factors played a role in the large oil price decline of 2014, global supply growth seems to have been the predominant force. The most important drivers were likely the surprising growth of US shale oil production, the output decisions of the Organization of the Petro-leum Exporting Countries and the weaker-than-expected global growth that followed the 2009 global financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Reinhard Ellwanger & Benjamin Sawatzky & Konrad Zmitrowicz, 2017. "Factors Behind the 2014 Oil Price Decline," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 2017(Autumn), pages 1-13.
    • Handle: RePEc:bca:bcarev:v:2017:y:2017:i:autumn17:p:1-13
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Olivier Gervais, 2019. "How Oil Supply Shocks Affect the Global Economy: Evidence from Local Projections," Discussion Papers 2019-6, Bank of Canada.
    2. Peter Y. Jang & Mario G. Beruvides, 2020. "Time-Varying Influences of Oil-Producing Countries on Global Oil Price," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-22, March.
    3. Güngör, Bekir Oray & Ertuğrul, H. Murat & Soytaş, Uğur, 2021. "Impact of Covid-19 outbreak on Turkish gasoline consumption," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    4. Ferriani, Fabrizio & Veronese, Giovanni, 2018. "U.S. shale producers: a case of dynamic risk management?," MPRA Paper 88279, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Larry Hughes & Moniek Jong & Zach Thorne, 2021. "(De)coupling and (De)carbonizing in the economies and energy systems of the G20," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 5614-5639, April.
    6. Ferriani, Fabrizio & Veronese, Giovanni, 2022. "Hedging and investment trade-offs in the U.S. oil industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    7. Jochen Güntner & Benjamin Karner, 2020. "Hedging with commodity futures and the end of normal Backwardation," Economics working papers 2020-21, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    8. Andrew Sharpe & John Tsang, 2019. "A Detailed Analysis of Newfoundland and Labrador's Productivity Performance, 1997-2018," CSLS Research Reports 2019-06, Centre for the Study of Living Standards.
    9. Zhang, Xiaojing & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Exploring the dynamic interaction between geopolitical risks and lithium prices: A time-varying analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. Ahmad Al Humssi & Maria Petrovskaya & Milana Abueva, 2022. "Modelling the Impact of World Oil Prices and the Mining and Quarrying Sector on the United Arab Emirates’ GDP," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, December.
    11. Elisa Di Febo & Matteo Foglia & Eliana Angelini, 2021. "Tail Risk and Extreme Events: Connections between Oil and Clean Energy," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-13, February.
    12. Maria Alina Carataș & Elena Cerasela Spătariu & Raluca Andreea Trandafir, 2019. "Triggers of the Economic Crisis," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 237-241, December.
    13. Nursel Selver Ruzgar & Clare Chua-Chow, 2023. "Behavior of Banks’ Stock Market Prices during Long-Term Crises," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, February.

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