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Migration Policy Uncertainty and Terrorist Attacks: Evidence from the US

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  • Zhen An

Abstract

To examine the potential relationship between migration policy uncertainty and terrorist attacks, this study uses the migration policy uncertainty index based on newspaper coverage frequency under the empirical framework of Vector Autoregression (VAR) model. The main findings of this study are as follows: (1) Based on the Granger causality test, migration policy uncertainty increases the occurrence of terrorist attacks. (2) From impulse response analysis, the exogenous shock to migration policy uncertainty has a significant and persistent impact on terrorist attacks. (3) By forecast error variance decomposition, migration policy uncertainty contributes to more than 24% of the forecast error variance of terrorist attacks. (4) The nexus between migration policy uncertainty and terrorist attacks only exists in typical migration countries, such as the U.S. Therefore, this paper first documents the causal relationship between terrorist attack and migration policy uncertainty. In practice, policymakers should decrease migration policy uncertainty in order to prevent the likelihood of future terrorist attacks.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhen An, 2019. "Migration Policy Uncertainty and Terrorist Attacks: Evidence from the US," International Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(1), pages 44-56.
    • Handle: RePEc:asi:ijosaa:v:4:y:2019:i:1:p:44-56:id:70
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    Cited by:

    1. Ming-Chang Huang & Tian-Jyun Gong & Shih-Ping Sun & Ping-Hsin Lin, 2023. "Obstacles or catalysts? A balanced view of formal institutional risks on FDI location choice," Asian Business & Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(5), pages 2077-2105, November.
    2. Chiang, Thomas C., 2023. "Real stock market returns and inflation: Evidence from uncertainty hypotheses," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).

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