IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/asi/aeafrj/v10y2020i2p146-159id1916.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stock Market Sensitivity to Macroeconomic Factors: Evidence from China and India

Author

Listed:
  • Karthigai Prakasam Chellaswamy
  • Natchimuthu N
  • Muhammadriyaj Faniband

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyse the impact of Chinese macroeconomic factors on Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) Composite returns and Indian macroeconomic factors on Nifty returns based on monthly data from January 1998 to December 2018. This study adopts quantile regression approach. The QR allows examining the conditional dependence of specific quantile of SSE and Nifty returns with respect to the conditioning factors. The authors present results for two sample periods that are pre-recession and recession period from 1998 to 2008 and the post-recession period from 2009 to 2018. This paper also documents quite interesting and useful results for the entire period. From the results, It is concluded that Chinese consumer price index significantly affects the SSE returns only for lower quantiles. However, Indian consumer price index has a significant and positive impact on the Nifty returns for the upper quantiles. Further, Chinese interest rates and Indian interest rates have no impact on the SSE and Nifty returns respectively across the different quantiles. Moreover, the Chinese exchange rate influence the SSE returns at the extreme dataset. However, the Indian exchange rate is insignificant. It is important to note that the dependence structure of China shows a negligible change during the post-recession period. Conversely, the dependence structure has changed significantly for India post-recession. The implication of this paper would guide stock market participants.

Suggested Citation

  • Karthigai Prakasam Chellaswamy & Natchimuthu N & Muhammadriyaj Faniband, 2020. "Stock Market Sensitivity to Macroeconomic Factors: Evidence from China and India," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(2), pages 146-159.
  • Handle: RePEc:asi:aeafrj:v:10:y:2020:i:2:p:146-159:id:1916
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://archive.aessweb.com/index.php/5002/article/view/1916/2974
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://archive.aessweb.com/index.php/5002/article/view/1916/4476
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Peixoto Messias, Iasmin Emillyn, 2022. "Macroeconomic factors and value and growth strategies: evidence from Brazil," MPRA Paper 114875, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Karthigai Prakasam Chellaswamy & Natchimuthu N & Muhammadriyaj Faniband, 2021. "Stock Market Reforms and Stock Market Performance," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 12(2), pages 202-209, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:asi:aeafrj:v:10:y:2020:i:2:p:146-159:id:1916. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Robert Allen (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://archive.aessweb.com/index.php/5002/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.