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Asymmetric Impact of Exchange Rate Changes on Stock Prices: Empirical Evidence from Germany

Author

Listed:
  • Nadia Anjum

    (PhD Scholar, Sukkur IBA University Sukkur, Pakistan)

  • Niaz Hussain Ghumro

    (Assistant Professor, Sukkur IBA University Sukkur, Pakistan)

  • Bisharat Husain

    (PhD Scholar, Sukkur IBA University Sukkur, Pakistan)

Abstract

This study examines whether shifts in exchange rate has symmetric or asymmetric impact on stock prices in Germany. Linear and nonlinear autoregressive distribution lag models are applied by using monthly data from the period January 1993 till April 2017. Findings suggest that only currency devaluation affects stock prices which implies asymmetric impact of changes in exchange rate on stock prices. The empirical results from this study would be useful for policymaking as well as for forecasting the impact of exchange rate changes on stock prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Nadia Anjum & Niaz Hussain Ghumro & Bisharat Husain, 2017. "Asymmetric Impact of Exchange Rate Changes on Stock Prices: Empirical Evidence from Germany," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 3(11), pages 240-245, 11-2017.
    • Handle: RePEc:arp:ijefrr:2017:p:240-245
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bouzgarrou, Houssam & Ftiti, Zied & Louhichi, Waël & Yousfi, Mohamed, 2023. "What can we learn about the market reaction to macroeconomic surprise? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Hashmi, Shabir Mohsin & Chang, Bisharat Hussain & Bhutto, Niaz Ahmed, 2021. "Asymmetric effect of oil prices on stock market prices: New evidence from oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    3. Madziwa, Lawrence & Pillalamarry, Mallikarjun & Chatterjee, Snehamoy, 2022. "Gold price forecasting using multivariate stochastic model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    4. Emmanuel Uche & Bisharat Hussain Chang & Lionel Effiom, 2023. "Household consumption and exchange rate extreme dynamics: Multiple asymmetric threshold non‐linear autoregressive distributed lag model perspective," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3437-3450, July.
    5. Hashmi, Shabir Mohsin & Chang, Bisharat Hussain & Huang, Liangfang & Uche, Emmanuel, 2022. "Revisiting the relationship between oil prices, exchange rate, and stock prices: An application of quantile ARDL model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    6. Armida Amado & Looi Mun Choon, 2020. "Impact of Changes in Exchange Rate on Stock Market: An Empirical Evidence from Indonesia," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 7(1), pages 24-31.
    7. Bisharat Hussain Chang & Suresh Kumar Oad Rajput & Niaz Ahmed Bhutto, 2019. "Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on the US Exports: A New Evidence From Multiple Threshold Nonlinear ARDL Model," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 1-26, June.
    8. Hashmi, Shabir Mohsin & Chang, Bisharat Hussain & Rong, Li, 2021. "Asymmetric effect of COVID-19 pandemic on E7 stock indices: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    9. Bisharat Hussain Chang & Suresh Kumar Oad Rajput & Niaz Hussain Ghumro, 2018. "Asymmetric Impact Of Exchange Rate Changes On The Trade Balance: Does Global Financial Crisis Matter?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(04), pages 1-18, December.
    10. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Bisharat Hussain Chang, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of macroeconomic variables on the emerging stock indices: A quantile ARDL approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 1006-1024, January.
    11. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Bisharat Hussain Chang & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2021. "Asymmetric effect of exchange rate volatility on India's cross‐border trade: Evidence from global financial crisis and multiple threshold nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(1), pages 64-97, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymmetry; NARDL; Germany; stock market.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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