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The effect of cigarette taxes on cigarette consumption, 1955 through 1994

Author

Listed:
  • Meier, K.J.
  • Licari, M.J.

Abstract

Objectives: This study examines the effectiveness of state and federal taxes in reducing the consumption of cigarettes, estimates the impact of government health warnings, and shows how warnings and taxes interact. Methods: By means of a pooled time-series analysis from 1955 through 1994 with the 50 states as units of analysis, the impact of excise taxes on cigarette consumption for several different models and econometric techniques is assessed. Results: From 1955 through 1994, increases in state taxes were effective in reducing cigarette use. Federal tax increases, however, appear to have been more effective. This difference is partly the result of the 'bootlegging' of cigarettes across state lines and the size of the increases in the federal tax. Cigarette consumption also declined when health warning labels were added. Conclusions: Increases of taxes on cigarettes are associated with declines in the consumption of tobacco. Because of inflation, increased health concerns, and the declining percentage of smokers, however, large reductions in consumption require large tax increases.

Suggested Citation

  • Meier, K.J. & Licari, M.J., 1997. "The effect of cigarette taxes on cigarette consumption, 1955 through 1994," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 87(7), pages 1126-1130.
  • Handle: RePEc:aph:ajpbhl:1997:87:7:1126-1130_7
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    Cited by:

    1. Jan (J.C.) van Ours & Ali Palali, 2017. "The Impact of Tobacco Control Policies on Smoking Initiation in Europe," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-074/V, Tinbergen Institute.
    2. Hanewinkel, Reiner & Isensee, Barbara, 2008. "Opinion on tobacco tax increase: Factors associated with individuals' support in Germany," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(2-3), pages 234-238, May.
    3. van Ours, Jan C. & Palali, Ali, 2017. "The Impact of Tobacco Control Policies on Smoking Initiation in Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 12201, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Heboyan, Vahé & Hovhannisyan, Vardges, 2018. "A Dynamic Quantile Regression Analysis of the US Tobacco Control Policies: Implications of Tobacco Taxes and Tobacco-Free Laws on Young Adult and Adult Cigarette Consumption during 2009-2014," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273981, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Richard J. Cebula & Fabrizio Rossi, 2015. "Does the Presence of Very Young Children and/or Older Minor-aged Children in the Home Reduce Cigarette Smoking? Panel Data Evidence for the United States," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 9(4), pages 430-441, November.
    6. Ali Palali & Jan C. Ours, 2019. "The impact of tobacco control policies on smoking initiation in eleven European countries," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 20(9), pages 1287-1301, December.
    7. Michael S Sharbaugh & Andrew D Althouse & Floyd W Thoma & Joon S Lee & Vincent M Figueredo & Suresh R Mulukutla, 2018. "Impact of cigarette taxes on smoking prevalence from 2001-2015: A report using the Behavioral and Risk Factor Surveillance Survey (BRFSS)," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(9), pages 1-10, September.
    8. Showalter, Mark H., 1999. "Firm behavior in a market with addiction: the case of cigarettes," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 409-427, August.

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