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Impact of influenza epidemics on mortality in the United States from October 1972 to May 1985

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  • Lui, K.-J.
  • Kendal, A.P.

Abstract

Baseline levels of mortality in the United States in the absence of influenza epidemics were estimated using cyclical regression models applied to national vital statistics from October 1972 to May 1985. Models were developed by age and by region. Results from 1983 to 1985 are preliminary. More mortality than predicted by the theoretical baseline occurred during nine influenza seasons. Epidemics with high morbidity in children and young adults occurred in 1976/77 and 1987/79. Regional differences in the impact of influenza occurred occasionally. Total influenza-associated excess mortality in six epidemics from the winters of 1972/73 to 1980/81 was about 200,000. About 80-90 per cent of excess mortality occurred in persons over 64 years old.

Suggested Citation

  • Lui, K.-J. & Kendal, A.P., 1987. "Impact of influenza epidemics on mortality in the United States from October 1972 to May 1985," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 77(6), pages 712-716.
    • Handle: RePEc:aph:ajpbhl:1987:77:6:712-716_4
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    Cited by:

    1. David Wilson & Rosemary Lester & Anne Taylor & Tiffany Gill & Eleonora Grande & John Litt & Ann Kempe & Margaret Campbell & Nan Miller & Gay Rixon & Jo Schell & Brenda White & Sandra Klason, 2002. "Prevalence of influenza immunisation in Australia and suggestions for future targeting of campaigns," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 47(2), pages 91-99, March.
    2. van Beeck, Eduard F. & Mackenbach, Johan P., 1997. "Future health scenarios as a tool in the surveillance of unintentional injuries," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 13-28, April.

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