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Estimating potential reductions in premature mortality in New York City from raising the minimum wage to $15

Author

Listed:
  • Tsao, T.-Y.
  • Konty, K.J.
  • Van Wye, G.
  • Barbot, O.
  • Hadler, J.L.
  • Linos, N.
  • Bassett, M.T.

Abstract

Objectives. To assess potential reductions in premature mortality that could have been achieved in 2008 to 2012 if the minimum wage had been $15 per hour in New York City. Methods. Using the 2008 to 2012 American Community Survey, we performed simulations to assess how the proportion of low-income residents in each neighborhood might change with a hypothetical $15 minimum wage under alternative assumptions of labor market dynamics. We developed an ecological model of premature death to determine the differences between the levels of premature mortality as predicted by the actual proportions of low-income residents in 2008 to 2012 and the levels predicted by the proportions of low-income residents under a hypothetical $15 minimum wage. Results. A $15 minimum wage could have averted 2800 to 5500 premature deaths between 2008 and 2012 in New York City, representing 4% to 8% of total premature deaths in that period. Most of these avertable deaths would be realized in lower-income communities, in which residents are predominantly people of color. Conclusions. A higherminimum wage may have substantial positive effects on health and should be considered as an instrument to address health disparities.

Suggested Citation

  • Tsao, T.-Y. & Konty, K.J. & Van Wye, G. & Barbot, O. & Hadler, J.L. & Linos, N. & Bassett, M.T., 2016. "Estimating potential reductions in premature mortality in New York City from raising the minimum wage to $15," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 106(6), pages 1036-1041.
    • Handle: RePEc:aph:ajpbhl:10.2105/ajph.2016.303188_9
    DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2016.303188
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    Cited by:

    1. Umedjon Ibragimov & Stephanie Beane & Samuel R Friedman & Kelli Komro & Adaora A Adimora & Jessie K Edwards & Leslie D Williams & Barbara Tempalski & Melvin D Livingston & Ronald D Stall & Gina M Wing, 2019. "States with higher minimum wages have lower STI rates among women: Results of an ecological study of 66 US metropolitan areas, 2003-2015," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(10), pages 1-18, October.
    2. Leigh, J. Paul, 2021. "Treatment design, health outcomes, and demographic categories in the literature on minimum wages and health," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    3. Du Juan & Leigh J. Paul, 2018. "Effects of Minimum Wages on Absence from Work Due to Illness," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 1-23, January.
    4. Allegretto, Sylvia & Nadler, Carl, 2020. "Minimum Wages and Health: A Reassessment," Institute for Research on Labor and Employment, Working Paper Series qt98f1p6h7, Institute of Industrial Relations, UC Berkeley.
    5. Otto Lenhart, 2017. "The impact of minimum wages on population health: evidence from 24 OECD countries," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 18(8), pages 1031-1039, November.
    6. Margaret C. Morrissey & Zachary Yukio Kerr & Gabrielle J. Brewer & Faton Tishukaj & Douglas J. Casa & Rebecca L. Stearns, 2023. "Analysis of Exertion-Related Injuries and Fatalities in Laborers in the United States," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-14, February.
    7. Richardson, Elizabeth & Fenton, Lynda & Parkinson, Jane & Pulford, Andrew & Taulbut, Martin & McCartney, Gerry & Robinson, Mark, 2020. "The effect of income-based policies on mortality inequalities in Scotland: a modelling study," EUROMOD Working Papers EM3/20, EUROMOD at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    8. Allison Dwyer Emory & Daniel P. Miller & Lenna Nepomnyaschy & Maureen R. Waller & Alexandra Haralampoudis, 2020. "The Minimum Wage and Fathers’ Residence with Children," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 472-491, September.
    9. Claire Benny & Shelby Yamamoto & Sheila McDonald & Radha Chari & Roman Pabayo, 2022. "Modelling Maternal Depression: An Agent-Based Model to Examine the Complex Relationship between Relative Income and Depression," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(7), pages 1-12, April.

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