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Yield Curve and Momentum Effects in Monthly U.S. Equity Returns: Some Nonparametric Evidence

Author

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  • Somya Tyagi
  • Sikandar Siddiqui

Abstract

In this paper, two largely familiar stock market anomalies – the yield curve and the momentum effects - are re-examined for the S&P 500 index by using nonparametric regression. The results essentially confirm the existence of both of these phenomena, but also indicate that the stochastic linkages between the explanatory variables and future index returns are nonlinear and mutually dependent. It hence turns out that the greater flexibility offered by nonparametric regression enables the detection and characterisation of some features of the underlying relationship that would have been gone unnoticed under the linearity and additivity assumptions underlying simpler regression approaches.

Suggested Citation

  • Somya Tyagi & Sikandar Siddiqui, 2017. "Yield Curve and Momentum Effects in Monthly U.S. Equity Returns: Some Nonparametric Evidence," Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 4(2), pages 61-67.
    • Handle: RePEc:aoj:ajeaer:v:4:y:2017:i:2:p:61-67:id:231
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    Cited by:

    1. Sulaiman Sajilan & Muhammad Umar Islam & Mohsin Ali & Urooj Anwar, 2019. "The Determinants of FDI in OIC Countries," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 466-473, August.
    2. Soonduck Yoo & Jong-Sun Park, 2019. "The Influence of Information Acceptance on Information Use Performance in the Case of Vulnerable Classes," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 474-486, August.
    3. Sharifah Liyana Marissa Malik Syed Abdul & Haslinda Yusoff & Nafsiah Mohamed, 2019. "Factors That Might Lead to Corruption: A Case Study on Malaysian Government Agency," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(3), pages 216-229, May.

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