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Совершенствование моделей прогнозирования объема наличных денег в обращении в Республике Казахстан // Improving the models for forecasting the volume of cash in circulation in the Republic of Kazakhstan

Author

Listed:
  • Майданов С.Ж. // Maidanov S.Zh.

    (National Bank of Kazakhstan)

  • Табарак Ы.Ж. // Tabarak Y.Zh.

    (National Bank of Kazakhstan)

Abstract

Оценка факторов формирования спроса является неотъемлемой частью моделей прогнозирования объема наличных денег в обращении. В рамках исследования путем построения эконометрических моделей проведен анализ отдельных показателей и их влияния на изменение объема использования разных номиналов банкнот и монет. Результаты исследований могут быть применены в качестве вспомогательного инструмента при прогнозировании объема наличных денег в обращении. // The assessment of factors for demand formation is an integral part of models for forecasting the volume of cash in circulation. As part of the study, an analysis of individual indicators and their impact on the change in the volume of use of different denominations of banknotes and coins was carried out by building econometric models. The research results can be used as an auxiliary tool in predicting the amount of cash in circulation.

Suggested Citation

  • Майданов С.Ж. // Maidanov S.Zh. & Табарак Ы.Ж. // Tabarak Y.Zh., 2022. "Совершенствование моделей прогнозирования объема наличных денег в обращении в Республике Казахстан // Improving the models for forecasting the volume of cash in circulation in the Republic of Kazakhst," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2, pages 4-21.
    • Handle: RePEc:aob:journl:y:2022:i:2:p:4-21
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    банкноты; циркуляционные монеты; ВВП; модель исправления ошибок; безналичные переводы и платежи; POS-терминалы; banknotes; circulating coins; GDP; error correction model; cashless transfers and payments; POS-terminals;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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