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Auto-Seleção e Aprendizado no Comércio Exterior das Firmas Industriais Brasileiras

Author

Listed:
  • Sérgio Kannebley Júnior

    (Universidade de São Paulo (USP-FEARP), Brasil)

  • Priscilla Luiz Alberto Esteves

    (Mackenzie Universidade Federal do ParanÁ (UFPR), Brasil)

  • Alexandre Messa Peixoto da Silva

    (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA-DF), Brasil)

  • Bruno César Araújo

    (Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA-DF), Brasil)

Abstract

Esse trabalho procura realizar uma análise integrada das hipóteses de auto-seleção e aprendizado para as exportações, oferecendo elementos para a discussão sobre a formulação recente da política de promoção de exportações. São utilizadas informações de firmas industriais brasileiras no período de 2000 a 2006 extraídas das bases de dados da Secretaria de Comércio Exterior (SECEX), Relação Anual de Informações Sociais (RAIS), e da Pesquisa Industrial Anual (PIA). Além da análise descritiva sobre as características observáveis das empresas, esse trabalho conta com análise econométrica sobre os determinantes da persistência e da permanência da firma na atividade exportadora. Seus principais resultados indicam que histerese na atividade exportadora está mais fortemente presente nas micro e pequenas empresas, sendo tais categorias as principais responsáveis pelos fluxos de entrada e saída no mercado externo. Em segundo lugar, de que existe uma clara relação entre valor de estreia, persistência e permanência na atividade exportadora. No entanto, conforme foi possível observar essa relação não está apenas pautada pelos argumentos de auto-seleção, mas também pelos argumentos relacionados à hipótese de aprendizado pelas exportações na medida em que são evidencias trajetórias diferenciadas para os prêmios de produtividade anterior e posteriormente à entrada no mercado externo.

Suggested Citation

  • Sérgio Kannebley Júnior & Priscilla Luiz Alberto Esteves & Alexandre Messa Peixoto da Silva & Bruno César Araújo, 2009. "Auto-Seleção e Aprendizado no Comércio Exterior das Firmas Industriais Brasileiras," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 10(4), pages 715-740.
    • Handle: RePEc:anp:econom:v:10:y:2009:i:4:715_740
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andrew B. Bernard & Jonathan Eaton & J. Bradford Jensen & Samuel Kortum, 2003. "Plants and Productivity in International Trade," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(4), pages 1268-1290, September.
    2. Roberto Alvarez & Ricardo A. López, 2005. "Exporting and performance: evidence from Chilean plants," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(4), pages 1384-1400, November.
    3. Marc J. Melitz, 2003. "The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(6), pages 1695-1725, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vargas Da Cruz,Marcio Jose, 2014. "Do export promotion agencies promote new exporters ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7004, The World Bank.
    2. Torres Mazzi, Caio & Foster-McGregor, Neil & Estefânia de Sousa Ferreira, Glaucia, 2021. "Production fragmentation and upgrading opportunities for exporters: An empirical assessment of the case of Brazil," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    3. Torres Mazzi, Caio, 2019. "Brazilian exporters and the rise of Global Value Chains: an empirical assessment," MERIT Working Papers 2019-014, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    4. Torres Mazzi, Caio & Foster-McGregor, Neil, 2021. "Imported intermediates, technological capabilities and exports: Evidence from Brazilian firm-level data," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(1).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Firmas Industriais Exportadoras; Auto-Seleção; Aprendizado pelas Exportações; Ganhos de Produtividade;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L1 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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