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Demographic Dividends and Economic Growth in Latin America. A Low and Middle-Income Trap Equilibrium

Author

Listed:
  • Ignacio Apella

    (World Bank)

Abstract

El objetivo del presente trabajo es estudiar el posible alcance de un equilibrio de trampa de ingresos medios y bajos para los países de América Latina debido a la transición demográfica. A partir de la utilización de datos de panel con 16 países durante el período 1970-2014 se identifica una contribución significativa del primer dividendo demográfico al crecimiento del PBI per cápita. Sin embargo, dada la dinámica de la tasa de fecundidad, existe un riesgo de alcance de equilibrio de trampa de ingresos medios y bajos a menos que se logre aumentos en la tasa de ahorro, la inversión y, por tanto, de la productividad.

Suggested Citation

  • Ignacio Apella, 2021. "Demographic Dividends and Economic Growth in Latin America. A Low and Middle-Income Trap Equilibrium," Económica, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, vol. 67, pages 48-68, January-D.
    • Handle: RePEc:akh:journl:631
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    File URL: https://revistas.unlp.edu.ar/Economica/article/view/8005/12166
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demographic dividends; Economic growth; Support ratio;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics

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