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The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Brazilian Manufactured Exports

Author

Listed:
  • Antonio Aguirre

    (UFMG/Department of Economics, and CEPE (Centre for Research in International Economics))

  • Afonso Ferreira

    (FJP/School of Government, and CEPE (Centre for Research in International Economics))

  • Hilton Notini

    (FGV/Graduate School of Economics (EPGE))

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to examine the relation between exchange rate volatility and the volume of exports, using Brazilian data. After establishing the existence of cointegration among the variables included in our model, we estimate the long run coefficients by means of an auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. Our results show that exchange rate volatility has significantly affected —in a negative way— Brazilian manufactured exports in the period 1986–2002.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonio Aguirre & Afonso Ferreira & Hilton Notini, 2007. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Brazilian Manufactured Exports," Económica, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, vol. 0(1-2), pages 3-19, January-D.
    • Handle: RePEc:akh:journl:554
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    File URL: https://revistas.unlp.edu.ar/Economica/article/view/5494/4499
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Flavio Vilela Vieira & Cleomar Gomes Da Silva, 2018. "Brics Export Performance: An Ardl Bounds Testing Empirical Investigation," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 101, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    2. Ronald Miranda & Gabriela Mordecki, 2015. "Real exchange rate volatility impact on exports: A comparative study 1990-2013," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 15-18, Instituto de Economía - IECON.
    3. Julio Bicudo & Nnanna Azu, 2018. "Effects of Bilateral Real Exchange Rate on Sino-Nigeria Trade: An ARDL Cointegration Approach," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(7), pages 125-125, July.
    4. Lira SEKANTSI, 2011. "The Impact of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on South African Exports to the United States (U.S.): A Bounds Test Approach," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 8, pages 119-139, December.
    5. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Harvey, Hanafiah & Hegerty, Scott W., 2013. "The effects of exchange-rate volatility on commodity trade between the U.S. and Brazil," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 70-93.
    6. V Polodoo & B Seetanah & Sannassee R. V, 2016. "Exchange rate volatility and manufacturing trade: Evidence from Africa," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 50(5), pages 241-256, Special I.
    7. Flavio Vilela Vieira & Cleomar Gomes da Silva, 2021. "What drives export performance in the BRICS countries? An ARDL investigation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(2), pages 686-695.
    8. Gabriela Mordecki & Ronald Miranda, 2019. "Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Exports: A Study for Four Selected Commodity Exporting Countries," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 66(4), pages 411-437.
    9. Harold Ngalawa & Adebayo Augustine Kutu, 2017. "Modelling exchange rate variations and global shocks in Brazil," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 35(1), pages 73-95.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate volatility; cointegration; auto-regressive distributed lag models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

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