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The long-term impact of public expenditures on GDP-growth

Author

Listed:
  • Gábor Kutasi

    (Research Institute of Competitiveness and Economy National University of Public Service, Budapest, Hungary)

  • Ádám Marton

    (Research Institute of Competitiveness and Economy National University of Public Service, Budapest, Hungary)

Abstract

Are governments able to continuously boost economic growth by spending for decades? Can the state be a more efficient user of income by improving the structure of public spending? The paper analyses the correlation between various types of public expenditures and GDP growth in different countries of the EU. The database was composed from the Classification of the Functions of Government (COFOG) classification of public spending, which contains data of 25 EU economies in the period 1996–2017. Three econometric models were applied in accordance with the empirical practice found in the literature: firstdifferences general method of moment (GMM), fixed effects panel and ordinary least squares (OLS) models. The expenditures on social protection proved to have a negative, statistically significant and robust impact on GDP growth. The results are similar for general public spending, and while spending on public order also has a significant and robust coefficient, its sign is ambiguous. The novelty of the article relate to the findings on lagged education and health spending, which have a positive impact on GDP growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Gábor Kutasi & Ádám Marton, 2020. "The long-term impact of public expenditures on GDP-growth," Society and Economy, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 42(4), pages 403-419, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:aka:soceco:v:42:y:2020:i:4:p:403-419
    DOI: 10.1556/204.2020.00018
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Manuela Ortega-Gil & Chaima ElHichou-Ahmed & Antonio Mata-García, 2022. "Effects of Immigrants, Health, and Ageing on Economic Growth in the European Union," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Ramona Tiganasu & Gabriela Carmen Pascariu & Dan Lupu, 2022. "Competitiveness, fiscal policy and corruption: evidence from Central and Eastern European countries," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(3), pages 667-698, September.
    3. Mursit Recepoglu, 2022. "Public Expenditures, Economic Growth and Income Inequality: Empirical Evidence from the Commonwealth of Independent States," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 9(2), pages 293-314, July.
    4. Fakhre Alam & Harman Preet Singh & Ajay Singh, 2022. "Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia through Sectoral Reallocation of Government Expenditures," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(4), pages 21582440221, October.
    5. Köktaş, A. Murat & Apaydın, Şükrü & Pirçekli, Koray, 2022. "The Impact of the Public Education Expenditures on Regional Development in Turkey: Evidence from Static and Dynamic Panel Data," MPRA Paper 114124, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    public expenditures; economic growth; EU; GMM; OLS; fixed effects;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C36 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

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