IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aka/soceco/v42y2020i3p313-332.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroeconomic determinants of external indebtedness of Ethiopia: ARDL approach to co-integration

Author

Listed:
  • Sisay Demissew Beyene

    (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Szeged, Szeged, Hungary
    College of Business and Economics, Arsi University, Asella, Ethiopia)

  • Balázs Kotosz

    (IÉSEG Management School, Lille, France)

Abstract

Although Ethiopia is one of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC), there is a lack of empirical studies about the determinants of its external indebtedness. This paper aims to fill this gap by examining the macroeconomic determinants of the external indebtedness of Ethiopia between 1981 and 2016, using the two- and three-gap models as a theoretical framework and an autoregressive distributed lag bound testing approach. The result shows that in the long run, the savings-investment gap, trade deficit, fiscal deficit, and debt service have a positive and significant impact on external indebtedness. However, the growth rate of gross domestic product, trade openness, and inflation negatively and significantly affect the external indebtedness of the country. These results coincide with the predictions of the two- and three-gap models of the theoretical framework. The study argues that appropriate macroeconomic, social, and supply-side policies are essential to reducing the external indebtedness of Ethiopia.

Suggested Citation

  • Sisay Demissew Beyene & Balázs Kotosz, 2020. "Macroeconomic determinants of external indebtedness of Ethiopia: ARDL approach to co-integration," Society and Economy, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 42(3), pages 313-332, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:aka:soceco:v:42:y:2020:i:3:p:313-332
    DOI: 10.1556/204.2020.00013
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1556/204.2020.00013
    Download Restriction: subscription
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1556/204.2020.00013?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fentaw Leykun, 2024. "Climate change and external debt vulnerability: the case of Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 1-27, December.
    2. Saira Arsh & Javaria Sarwar & Sana Iftikhar, 2024. "An Empirical Analysis of Short Run and Long Run Association between Debt Servicing and External Debt in Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 13(2), pages 109-116.
    3. Ngasamiaku, Wilhelm M. & Ngong'ho, Sende, 2022. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Public Debt in Tanzania: Empirical Evidence and lessons for Post COVID-19 Recovery," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 10(5), December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    macroeconomic determinants; external indebtedness; ARDL; Ethiopia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aka:soceco:v:42:y:2020:i:3:p:313-332. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kriston, Orsolya (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://akademiai.hu/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.