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How Does Pensions Affect Savings in Nigeria? Evidence from Quarterly Data

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  • Nurudeen Abu
  • Bilyaminu Kadandani
  • Ben Obi
  • Murtala Modibbo

Abstract

This study investigates the effect of pensions on savings in Nigeria using quarterly data over the 2004-2015 period. Employing the ARDL bounds testing technique, the empirical evidence reveal that there is cointegration between pensions and savings, along with internal conflicts, unemployment, real interest rate and income level. The results indicate that pensions has a negative and significant effect on savings in the short-run, while its effect on savings is positive and significant in the long-run. These findings suggest that the availability of pensions will displace savings in the short-run, while it provides an avenue for individuals to increase their retirement income in the long-run, leading to higher national savings. In addition, internal conflicts and unemployment have a negative and significant effect on savings in the short-run and the long-run. Based on these findings, this study recommends policies to promote pension contributions, including reducing internal conflicts and unemployment to raise savings in Nigeria in the long-run. JEL Codes - E21; F51; H53; H55

Suggested Citation

  • Nurudeen Abu & Bilyaminu Kadandani & Ben Obi & Murtala Modibbo, 2019. "How Does Pensions Affect Savings in Nigeria? Evidence from Quarterly Data," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 66(4), pages 541-558, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:aic:saebjn:v:66:y:2019:i:4:p:541-558:n:162
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    savings; pensions; internal conflicts; Nigeria; ARDL;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
    • H53 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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