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Türkiye’de Sektör ve Kaynak Bazlı Enerji Kullanımları Yakınsıyor mu? Panel TAR ve Çoklu Kırılmalı Birim Kök Bulguları

Author

Listed:
  • Kumru Türköz
  • Utku Utkulu

Abstract

Fosil yakıtların neden olduğu çevresel baskının ortadan kaldırılması için yeşil büyüme, sürdürülebilir büyüme ve yenilenebilir kaynakların enerji kullanımındaki payının artırılması gibi alternatif çözümler ortaya atılmaktadır. Buradan hareketle bu çalışmada; sektörel dönüşümlerin yaşandığı 1970-2017 dönemi Türkiye ekonomisinde sektörel bazda enerji kaynakları arasında bir olası yakınsama ilişkisinin olup olmadığı, var ise bu ilişkinin fosil mi yoksa yenilenebilir kaynaklar yoluyla mı gerçekleştiği ampirik olarak test edilmektedir. Panel TAR (Threshold Autoregressive Model-Eşik Otoregresif Model) veri analiz bulguları; ilgili sektörler arasında doğrusal model altında bir yakınsama ilişkisi olmadığına, ancak farklı formlara sahip iki rejim altında kısmi bir yakınsama ilişkisi olduğuna işaret etmektedir. Buna ek olarak gerçekleştirilen çoklu yapısal kırılmalı Lumsdaine-Papell birim kök analiz bulguları ise bu kısmi yakınsamanın ilgili sektörlerde kullanılan fosil yakıtlar aracılığıyla gerçekleştiğini göstermektedir. Sektörler içerisinde sınırlı kullanım alanı bulunması nedeniyle yenilenebilir kaynakların hiçbir sektörde yakınsama göstermiyor oluşu, yenilenebilir (temiz) enerjiye yönelmeyi amaçlayan Türkiye’nin uyguladığı politikaların ve teşviklerin uygulamada yetersiz kaldığının bir göstergesi olarak değerlendirilmektedir.

Suggested Citation

  • Kumru Türköz & Utku Utkulu, 2021. "Türkiye’de Sektör ve Kaynak Bazlı Enerji Kullanımları Yakınsıyor mu? Panel TAR ve Çoklu Kırılmalı Birim Kök Bulguları," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 6(1), pages 254-274.
    • Handle: RePEc:ahs:journl:v:6:y:2021:i:1:p:254-274
    DOI: 10.30784/epfad.863388
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Enerji Kullanımı; Sektör-Kaynak Analizi; Yakınsama Analizi; Panel TAR Veri Analizi; Lumsdaine-Papell Çoklu Kırılmalı Birim Kök Testi;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy
    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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