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The Impact Of Domestic Debt On Private Investment In The Gambia: An Ardl Approach

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  • Bilge Kağan ÖZDEMİR
  • Ebrima GOMEZ

Abstract

This study aims to analyse the impact of domestic debt on private investment in the Gambia by developing an investment model based on the neoclassical investment function and considered an annual time series data set from 1980 to 2013. To examine the nexus between our dependent variable, private investment and the explanatory variables, we used an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. Based on the bounds test result, a long run relationship exists between our variables. Furthermore, domestic debt was found to have a negative effect on private investment in the short run but not in the long run. On the other hand, the real interest rates had a crowding-out effect on private investment in the long run but a positive effect in the short run. This study will be a guide for policymakers on formulating fiscal and monetary policies to curb the level of domestic borrowing to optimal or sustainable levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Bilge Kağan ÖZDEMİR & Ebrima GOMEZ, 2020. "The Impact Of Domestic Debt On Private Investment In The Gambia: An Ardl Approach," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 5(1), pages 111-127.
    • Handle: RePEc:ahs:journl:v:5:y:2020:i:1:p:111-127
    DOI: 10.30784/epfad.682291
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vratislav Izák, 2014. "Private and Public Debt," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(1), pages 4-21.
    2. Majeed, Muhammad Tariq & Khan, Saniya, 2008. "The Determinants of Private Investment and the Relationship between Public and Private Investment in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 49301, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Private Investment; Domestic Debt; Real Interest Rate; Bounds Test; Cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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