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Potential Effects Of Climate Change On Agriculture In The Prairie Region Of Canada

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  • Arthur, Louise M.
  • Abizadeh, Fay

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to examine the effects of long-term climate change, as a consequence of doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide, on Canadian prairie agriculture. The climate change scenarios are based on regional results from two leading general circulation models (GCMs), and GFDL model and the GISS model. Although both scenarios suggest that average temperatures will increase in all areas of all three provinces by an annual average of 2.6 to 4.6 degrees centigrade, in some areas additional precipitation is enough to compensate for the increased evapotranspiration. Changes in crop revenues under current economic/technological conditions range from a 7% loss in Alberta under one GFDL scenario to an 8% increase in Saskatchewan under a slight different GFDL scenario.

Suggested Citation

  • Arthur, Louise M. & Abizadeh, Fay, 1988. "Potential Effects Of Climate Change On Agriculture In The Prairie Region Of Canada," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(2), pages 1-9, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32107
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.32107
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zbeetnoff, Darrell M. & Josephson, Rea M., 1988. "Information Needs In Choosing Fertilizer Rates," Extension Bulletins 124274, University of Manitoba, Department of Agribusiness and Agricultural Economics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gomez, Sonia Quiroga & Iglesias, Ana, 2005. "Crop Production Functions for Analysis of Global Change Impacts in Spain," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24565, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Lana Awada & Peter W. B. Phillips, 2021. "The distribution of returns from land efficiency improvement in multistage production systems," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 69(1), pages 73-92, March.
    3. Christopher Bryant & Barry Smit & Michael Brklacich & Thomas Johnston & John Smithers & Quentin Chjotti & Bhawan Singh, 2000. "Adaptation in Canadian Agriculture to Climatic Variability and Change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 181-201, April.
    4. Lewandrowski, J. K. & Brazee, R. J., 1991. "Farm Programs and Climate Change," 1991 Annual Meeting, August 4-7, Manhattan, Kansas 271172, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Alexey Naumov & Daria Sidorova & Ruslan Goncharov, 2022. "Farming on Arctic margins: Models of agricultural development in northern regions of Russia, Europe and North America," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(1), pages 174-186, February.
    6. G. Cornelis van Kooten, 2020. "Climate Change and Agriculture," Working Papers 2020-01, University of Victoria, Department of Economics, Resource Economics and Policy Analysis Research Group.
    7. Brad Stennes & Emina Krcmar-Nozic & G. Cornelis van Kooten, 1998. "Climate Change and Forestry: What Policy for Canada?," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 24(s2), pages 95-104, May.
    8. Walburger, Allan M. & Klein, Kurt K., 1998. "Impacts Of Global Warming On Cropping Practices In Alberta," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20943, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. John Reilly & Kenneth Richards, 1993. "Climate change damage and the trace gas index issue," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 3(1), pages 41-61, February.

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