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The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility upon Foreign Trade of Hungarian Agricultural Products

Author

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  • Fogarasi, Jozsef

Abstract

This paper takes a new empirical look at the long-standing question of the effect of exchange rate volatility on international trade flows of transition economies in Central Europe by studying the case of Hungarian agricultural exports to their export destination countries between 1999 and 2008. Based on a gravity model that controls for other factors likely to determine bilateral trade, the results show that nominal exchange rate volatility has had a significant positive effect on agricultural trade over this period. This positive effect of exchange rate volatility on agricultural exports suggests that agri-food entrepreneurs are not interested in speeding up the process of joining Hungary to the euro zone.

Suggested Citation

  • Fogarasi, Jozsef, 2011. "The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility upon Foreign Trade of Hungarian Agricultural Products," Studies in Agricultural Economics, Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, vol. 113(1), pages 1-14, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:stagec:102403
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.102403
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    Cited by:

    1. Jana Šimáková & Daniel Stavárek, 2015. "An Empirical Sector-Specific Gravity Model for Hungarian International Trade," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 63(6), pages 2145-2150.
    2. Braha, K. & Qineti, A. & Cupák, A. & Lazorčáková, E., 2017. "Determinants of Albanian Agricultural Export: The Gravity Model Approach," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 9(2), June.

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