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Democracy and Economic Growth in China: Evidence from Cointegration and Causality Testing

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  • Narayan, Paresh Kumar
  • Smyth, Russell

Abstract

This article considers the relationship between democracy and economic growth in China using the Error-Correction Mechanism test for cointegration, Autoregressive Distributed Lag modelling, Granger causality and dynamic modelling via variance decomposition and impulse response analysis. Our main findings are that in the long run the lack of democracy in China has had a statistically significant negative effect on real income, while in the short run democracy has had a statistically insignificant effect on economic growth. Our results suggest that in the long run growth in capital, labour and democracy Granger cause economic growth, while in the short run there is bi-directional Granger causality between democracy and economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Smyth, Russell, 2006. "Democracy and Economic Growth in China: Evidence from Cointegration and Causality Testing," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 2(1), pages 1-18.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:reapec:50282
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.50282
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    Cited by:

    1. Emrah KOÇAK & Nısfet UZAY, 2018. "Democracy, Economic Freedoms and Economic Growth: An Investigation on the Role of Institutions," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 26(36).
    2. Sara Corujo & Marta Simões, 2012. "Democracy and Growth: Evidence for Portugal (1960–2001)," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 18(3), pages 512-528, March.
    3. Chiu, Yi-Bin & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2020. "Effects of financial development on energy consumption: The role of country risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    4. Vishal Jaunky, 2013. "Democracy and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: a panel data approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(2), pages 987-1008, October.
    5. Hosein Mohammadi & Flavio Boccia & Amirhossein Tohidi, 2023. "The Relationship between Democracy and Economic Growth in the Path of Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-12, June.

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