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Impactos Econômicos do Código Florestal Brasileiro: uma discussão à luz de um modelo computável de equilíbrio geral

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  • Diniz, Tiago
  • Ferreira Filho, Joaquim Bento

Abstract

This paper analyzes the economic impacts of Brazilian Forest Code, in its different versions, on Brazil and its states. Three different scenarios were analyzed using an interregional computable general equilibrium model, the TERM-BR, from which we obtain national and regional results. Satellite imagery data was combined with economic information from the Brazilian Agricultural Census for the analysis. Model results show that the less restrictive new version of the law resulted in smaller negative economic impacts on the Brazilian economy. With the new law, the Brazilian GDP was reduced by 0.19%, or by 0.17%, when the system for Legal Reserves compensation in other state is used. This is smaller than the projected impact of the previous law, which we estimated to be a 0.37% reduction in the GDP. However, the results are heterogeneous across regions since the incidence of the restrictions is different in the alternative scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Diniz, Tiago & Ferreira Filho, Joaquim Bento, 2015. "Impactos Econômicos do Código Florestal Brasileiro: uma discussão à luz de um modelo computável de equilíbrio geral," Brazilian Journal of Rural Economy and Sociology (Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural-RESR), Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural, vol. 53(2), pages 1-22, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:rdecag:212578
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.212578
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    Cited by:

    1. Ferreira, J.B. De Souza Filho & De Faria, V. Guidotti & Guedes Pinto, L.F. & Sparovek, G., 2018. "Economic and Social Impacts of Deforestation reduction in Brazil," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277084, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Santos, Cárliton Vieira dos & Oliveira, Aryeverton Fortes de & Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza Ferreira, 2022. "Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture and the economy in different regions of Brazil," Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural (RESR), Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural, vol. 60(1), January.
    3. Terciane Sabadini Carvalho & Edson Paulo Domingues, 2016. "Controlling Deforestation In The Brazilian Amazon: Regional Economic Impacts And Land-Use Change," Anais do XLIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 43rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 192, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

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    Keywords

    Agribusiness;

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