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A Cultura do Algodão e a Questão da Integração entre Preços Internos e Externos

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  • Coelho, Alexandre Bragança

Abstract

Este artigo tem como objetivo analisar a interação entre preços internos e externos do algodão nas últimas duas décadas para determinar se a abertura comercial ocorrida na década de 90 representou um aumento da influência dos preços externos sobre os preços internos da pluma no país. Para este fim, a metodologia escolhida foi a análise de co-integração, especificamente o Procedimento de Johansen. Os resultados obtidos com a análise da amostra completa indicam que o mercado brasileiro e o norte-americano podem ser considerados perfeitamente integrados. Dividindo a amostra, os resultados referentes à década de 80 mostram que o mercado brasileiro de algodão em pluma pode ser considerado como um mercado fechado neste período, enquanto na década de 90 os resultados indicam que o mercado brasileiro pode ser considerado integrado aos mercados internacionais.

Suggested Citation

  • Coelho, Alexandre Bragança, 2004. "A Cultura do Algodão e a Questão da Integração entre Preços Internos e Externos," Brazilian Journal of Rural Economy and Sociology (Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural-RESR), Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural, vol. 42(1), pages 1-18, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:rdecag:156072
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.156072
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