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Effects of Climate Change on Rice Yield and Rice Market in Vietnam

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  • Le, T.H. Trang

Abstract

We evaluate the effects of climate change on Vietnam’s rice market. Results suggest that under a low-emission scenario and without interventions, rice production would drop by as much as 18% by 2030 relative to the 1980–1999 average. Farm and wholesale prices would increase by 1.86%, causing domestic demand to fall by 0.38%. The export sector would experience a rise of 6.94% in export free-on-board prices and a drop of 55.36% in export quantities. Farmers would experience a sales loss of 16.02%, whereas wholesalers would see a sales gain of 1.48%. For exporters, their sales loss would amount to 48.42%.

Suggested Citation

  • Le, T.H. Trang, 2016. "Effects of Climate Change on Rice Yield and Rice Market in Vietnam," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 48(4), November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:joaaec:350120
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.350120
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    Keywords

    Climate Change; Crop Production/Industries;

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