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Performance and Determinants of Exports of Coffee from India: A Post-WTO Scenario

Author

Listed:
  • Das, Arghyadeep
  • Raju, R.
  • Kumara, T.M. Kiran
  • Siddayya

Abstract

Coffee is an important plantation crop and has high export potential. About 70 per cent of total coffee produced in India is exported. India ranks fifth in total coffee exports in the world. The share of coffee export in total agricultural exports, depict a decreasing trend in recent years. To analyse the performance of coffee in post-WTO era, the time series data was divided into three periods, i.e., Period I (1995-96 to 1999-00), Period II (2000-01 to 2008-09) and Period III (2009-10 to 2018-19). Except in Period II, the quantity of export was showed positive and significant growth rate, instability of value of export and unit value of export was higher in Period II as compared to period I and III. Russian Federation, Italy, Germany, Spain, Belgium, Poland are the major export destinations of Indian coffee. Transition Probability Matrix was estimated to examine the retention probability of export share of Indian coffee among the major importers for the aforementioned periods. Markov chain process was used to forecast the share of export of Indian coffee among major importers for 2019-20 to 2024-25. The international price of coffee, exchange rate between rupees and dollars and lagged production of coffee were the few determinants of export of coffee.

Suggested Citation

  • Das, Arghyadeep & Raju, R. & Kumara, T.M. Kiran & Siddayya, 2020. "Performance and Determinants of Exports of Coffee from India: A Post-WTO Scenario," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:inijae:345140
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.345140
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sekhar, C.S.C., 2003. "Agricultural Trade Liberalisation - Likely Implications for Rice Sector in India," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 58(1), March.
    2. Usman Haleem & Khalid Mushtaq & Azhar Abbas & A. D. Sheikh, 2005. "Estimation of Export Supply Function for Citrus Fruit in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 44(4), pages 659-672.
    3. Adhikari, A. & Sekhon, M.K. & Kaur, M., 2016. "Export of Rice from India: Performance and Determinants," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 29(1).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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